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    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image

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    Post  Carol Sat May 25, 2013 6:49 pm

    CME STRIKE, GEOMAGNETIC STORMS: Earth's magnetic field is still reverberating from a CME strike on May 24th. The glancing blow around 1800 UT sparked at least three episodes of polar geomagnetic storming (Kp=5) on May 24-25. Sunspots AR1755 and AR1756 have 'beta-gamma' magnetic fields that harbor energy for M-class solar flares. . Solar wind flowing from this coronal hole could brush past Earth's magnetic field on May 27-28. Solar Wind speed: 750.0 km/sec
    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 Coronalhole_sdo_200


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.

    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Mon May 27, 2013 8:44 am

    ELECTRON STORM: In the past 24 hours, the flux of high-energy electrons swarming around Earth has increased more than tenfold. The source of this "electron storm" is a 600 km/s stream of solar wind buffeting Earth's magnetic field. NOAA cautions satellite operators that "satellite systems may experience significant charging" in response to accumulated electrons. Current Solar Wind Speed: 674.9 km/sec


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.

    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Wed May 29, 2013 10:56 am

    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 Coronalhole_strip
    CORONAL HOLE: A hole in the sun's atmosphere--a "coronal hole"--has opened up and it is spewing solar wind into space. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory photographed the UV-dark gap during the early hours of May 29th: Coronal holes are places where the sun's magnetic field spreads apart and allows solar wind to escape. A windy stream of plasma flowing from this particular hole should reach Earth on June 2-3. The impact could spark geomagnetic storms and auroras around the poles.


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.

    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Wed May 29, 2013 3:39 pm

    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 Enlil_com2_20130529T1800_20130602T110000
    You can watch the coronal hole impact on here: http://www.solarham.net/cmewatch2.htm
    It is the big image of the WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction on the right side. Bottom view shows it to be BIG


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    What is life?
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    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Sun Jun 02, 2013 9:25 am

    CHANCE OF STORMS: NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on June 2nd as a high-speed (700 km/s) solar wind stream buffets Earth's magnetic field. The warning comes on the heels of a lengthy G2-class geomagnetic storm on May 31-June 1 sparked by the arrival of an interplanetary shock wave. The source of the shock is unknown. Current speculation focuses on a corotating interaction region (CIR)--that is, a shock-like transition zone between high- and low-speed solar wind streams. Whatever it was, the impact ignited some beautiful auroras. Solar wind flowing from this coronal hole should hit Earth's magnetic field on June 3-4.

    Solar wind speed: 752.3 km/sec

    CHANCE OF FLARES: Sunspot AR1762 in the sun's southern hemisphere has developed a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares. So far, however, the sunspot is producing only low-level B- and C-class eruptions. The calm before the storm?

    Solar wind speed: 538.3 km/sec


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.

    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Wed Jun 05, 2013 9:37 am

    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 Cme_strip
    SOLAR FLARE AND CME: Southern sunspot AR1762 erupted today, June 5th, producing a long-duration M1-class solar flare that peaked around 0900 UT. The explosion hurled a right coronal mass ejection (CME) into space, shown here in a coronagraph image from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory: Because the sunspot is approaching the sun's southwestern limb, the blast was not squarely Earth-directed. In fact, it might miss us altogether. Stay tuned for further analysis of the trajectory of the CME.

    Meanwhile, more eruptions could be in the offing. AR1762 has a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for X-flares much stronger than the M1-class event that occured this morning. Solar wind flowing from this coronal hole should hit Earth's magnetic field on June 8-9. Solar wind speed: 493.7 km/sec


    Stellar Winds May Electrify Exoplanets
    The strangest class of exoplanets found to date might be even stranger than astronomers have thought. A new model suggests that they are partially heated by electric currents linked to their host stars. Florida Gulf Coast University (FGCU) astronomer Dr. Derek Buzasi has proposed a model in which electric currents arising from the interaction between the planet's magnetic field and the hot charged wind from the star flow through the interior of the planet, heating it like an electric toaster....

    ... Many of the planets found by the Kepler mission are of a type known as "hot Jupiters." While about the same size as Jupiter in our own solar system, these exoplanets are located much closer to their host stars than even Mercury is to our Sun, meaning that their atmospheres are heated to temperatures of thousands of degrees.

    One problem scientists have had in understanding the hot Jupiters is that many are inflated to sizes even larger than expected for planets so close to their stars.

    Explanations for the "puffiness" of these exoplanets generally involve some kind of extra heating for the planet. Proposed sources for the extra heat have included tides and interactions between the high-speed winds and magnetic fields expected on these planets, but none of these models successfully explains the observation that more magnetically active stars tend to have puffier hot Jupiters orbiting around them.

    "This kind of electric heating doesn't happen very effectively on planets in our solar system because their outer atmospheres are cold and don't conduct electricity very well," says Buzasi.

    "But heat up the atmosphere by moving the planet closer to its star and now very large currents can flow, which delivers extra heat to the deep interior of the planet - just where we need it." More magnetically active stars have more energetic winds and would provide larger currents and more heat to their planets.


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.

    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Sat Jun 08, 2013 8:59 am

    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 M5p9_strip
    M-CLASS SOLAR FLARE: At the end of the day on June 7th (2249 UT) departing sunspot AR1762 unleashed a strong M5.9-class solar flare. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) recorded the extreme ultraviolet flash: Because of the sunspot's location on the sun's southwestern limb, the blast was not particulary geoeffective. X-radiation from the flare ionized Earth's upper atmosphere, but only briefly, while a CME that flew away from the blast site is expected to miss our planet entirely. Solar wind
    speed: 431.6 km/sec


    NOCTILUCENT CLOUDS BEHAVING STRANGELY: Noctilucent clouds have surprised researchers by appearing early this year. The unexpected apparition of electric-blue clouds before the middle of May hints at a change in the "teleconnections" of Earth's atmosphere. NASA: http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2013/07jun_nlcs/

    "The 2013 season is remarkable because it started in the northern hemisphere a week earlier than any other season that AIM has observed," reports Cora Randall of the Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics at the University of Colorado. "This is quite possibly earlier than ever before. The early start is extra-puzzling because of the solar cycle. Researchers have long known that NLCs tend to peak during solar minimum and bottom-out during solar maximum—a fairly strong anti-correlation. "If anything, we would have expected a later start this year because the solar cycle is near its maximum. "It turns out that meteoroids play an important role in the formation of NLCs," explains Hampton University Professor James Russell, the principal investigator of AIM. "Specks of debris from disintegrating meteors act as nucleating points where water molecules can gather and crystallize." One of the greenhouse gases that has become more abundant in Earth's atmosphere since the 19th century is methane. "When methane makes its way into the upper atmosphere, it is oxidized by a complex series of reactions to form water vapor," says Russell. "This extra water vapor is then available to grow ice crystals for NLCs." The early start of the 2013 season appears to be caused by a change in atmospheric “teleconnections.” “Half-a-world away from where the northern NLCs are forming, strong winds in the southern stratosphere are altering global circulation patterns,” explains Randall. "This year more water vapor is being pushed into the high atmosphere where NLCs love to form, and the air there is getting colder."

    STORM WARNING: NOAA estimates a 60% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on June 9th when a CME is expected to deliver a glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field.


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.

    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Thu Jun 13, 2013 8:53 pm

    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 Filaments_strip
    QUIET SUN: With only two quiet sunspots dotting the solar disk, solar activity remains low. NOAA estimates a 5% chance of M-class solar flares and a scant 1% chance of X-class flares during the next 24 hours. 

    AN OUTBREAK OF MAGNETIC FILAMENTSThe sunspot number may be low, but the sun is far from blank. Amateur astronomers monitoring the sun report a large number of magnetic filaments snaking across the solar disk. Sergio Castillo captured more than half a dozen in this picture he sends from his backyard observatory in Inglewood, California:  "Filaments are popping up all over the solar surface," says Castillo. "Each one has a unique shape and length."

    The longest one, in the sun's southern hemisphere stretches, more than 400,000 km from end to end. "It's one of the longest filamentary structures I have ever seen," says veteran observer Bob Runyan of Shelton, Nebraska.

    If any of the filaments collapses, it could hit the stellar surface and explode, producing a Hyder flare. Filaments can also become unstable and erupt outward, hurling pieces of themselves into space. 


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.

    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Fri Jun 14, 2013 5:26 pm

    SOLAR CONJUNCTION OF JUPITER: If you've been looking for Jupiter, stop. The glare could hurt your eyes. Jupiter is approaching the sun for an extremely tight conjunction. Today they are only 3.5 degrees apart:
    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 Conjunction_strip
    On June 19th, Jupiter will pass directly behind the solar disk, less than a quarter of a degree from disk center. It's a rare total eclipse of Jupiter by the sun. Because of the glare, the event is invisible to human eyes. Coronagraphs, however, block the glare and monitor Jupiter's approach. 





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    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.

    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Mon Jun 17, 2013 10:04 am

    SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLARES: There are 7 sunspot groups on the Earthside of the sun, but none has a complex magnetic field that harbors energy for strong eruptions. NOAA forecasters estimate a 10% chance of M-class flares and no more than a 1% chance of X-class flares on June 17th. 
    SOUTHERN SUNSPOTS: So far, Solar Cycle 24 has been lopsided. Sunspots north of the sun's equator have outnumbered sunspots to the south by a significant margin: data. But now the southern hemisphere is catching up. Today a raft of southern sunspots is rotating over the sun's eastern limb:
    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 Southern_strip
    Solar physicist and sunspot forecaster Dean Pesnell of the Goddard Space Flight Center believes Solar Cycle 24 is likely double-peaked. A surge in southern sunspots could herald the second peak, due in late 2013 or early 2014. This solar cycle has been fairly anemic so far, so it could use a boost; the sun's southern hemisphere could be poised to provide it.


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.

    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Tue Jun 18, 2013 9:11 am

    INCREASING CHANCE OF FLARES: The magnetic field of sunspot AR1775 is growing more complex, increasing the chance of an eruption. NOAA forecasters estimate a 20% chance of M-class solar flares on June 19th. 

    FARSIDE ACTIVE REGION: Meanwhile on the farside of the sun, an un-numbered active region is seething with activity, and appears capable of significant eruptions. NASA's STEREO-Behind spacecraft is stationed over the sun's east limb with a good view of the hot spot (circled):
    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 Farside_strip2
    During the early hours of June 18th, a long-duration flare from this active region hurled a coronal mass ejection (CME) over the sun's eastern limb. However, none of the rocky planets (Mercury, Venus, Earth, Mars) were in the line of fire.
    In a few days, the sun's rotation will carry the active region around the eastern limb and onto the Earthside of the sun. Then we will have a direct view of the underlying sunspot group and be able to better assess its potential for future flares. 


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.

    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Wed Jun 19, 2013 2:19 pm

    EARTH THROUGH THE RINGS OF SATURN: One month from now, on July 19th, NASA's Cassini spacecraft will photograph Earth from Saturn. The unprecedented image will show the "Pale Blue Dot" in natural color, as it would appear to the human eye, framed by the rings of another world. Get the full storyfrom Science@NASA.
    CORONAL HOLE: A large "coronal hole" has formed in the atmosphere above the sun's northern hemisphere, and it is spewing solar wind into space. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory took this picture of the UV-dark gap during the early hours of June 19th:
    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 Coronalhole_strip
    Coronal holes are places where the sun's magnetic field opens up and allows the solar wind to escape. A wide stream of plasma flowing from this particular coronal hole will reach Earth, and brush against our planet's magnetic field, on June 23-24. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras on those dates.


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.

    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Fri Jun 21, 2013 1:30 am

    SUMMER SOLSTICE: Today is the first day of northern summer. At 1:04 a.m. EDT on June 21st, the sun reached its highest point on the celestial sphere (declination = +23.5o) marking the start of summer in the northern hemisphere, and winter in the south. Happy solstice!
    SOLSTICE SOLAR FLARE: This morning, June 21st at 03:16 UT, the sun itself marked the solstice with an M2-class solar flare from sunspot AR1777. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory photographed the extreme ultraviolet flash and a plume of material flying out of the blast site:
    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 Solstice_m2_strip
    As sunspots go, AR1777 is neither large nor apparently menacing, yet it has been crackling with flares for days. Before it rotated over the sun's eastern limb on June 20th, it unleashed a series of farside flares and CMEs. Today's explosion was not Earth directed, but future explosions could be as the sun's rotation continues to turn AR1777 toward our planet. NOAA forecasters estimate a 30% chance of M-flares and a 5% chance of X-flares during the next 24 hours. Solar wind speed: 466.4 km/sec


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.

    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Sat Jun 22, 2013 1:41 pm

    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 756737main_20130621-cme-670

    Sun Unleashes CME for Summer Solstice

    June 22, 2012 – SPACE – On June 20, 2013, at 11:24 p.m., the sun erupted with an Earth-directed coronal mass ejection or CME, a solar phenomenon that can send billions of tons of particles into space that can reach Earth one to three days later. These particles cannot travel through the atmosphere to harm humans on Earth, but they can affect electronic systems in satellites and on the ground. Experimental NASA research models, based on observations from NASA’s Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory and ESA/NASA’s Solar and Heliospheric Observatory show that the CME left the sun at speeds of around 1350 miles per second, which is a fast speed for CMEs. Earth-directed CMEs can cause a space weather phenomenon called a geomagnetic storm, which occurs when they funnel energy into Earth’s magnetic envelope, the magnetosphere, for an extended period of time. The CME’s magnetic fields peel back the outermost layers of Earth’s fields changing their very shape. Magnetic storms can degrade communication signals and cause unexpected electrical surges in power grids. They also can cause aurora. Storms are rare during solar minimum, but as the sun’s activity ramps up every 11 years toward solar maximum – currently expected in late 2013 — large storms occur several times per year. In addition, the CME may pass by additional spacecraft: Messenger, STEREO B, Spitzer, and their mission operators have been notified. If warranted, operators can put spacecraft into safe mode to protect the instruments from the solar material. –NASA


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.

    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Mon Jun 24, 2013 10:20 am

    RADIATION STORM: A minor solar proton storm is underway around Earth. Registering "S1" on NOAA storm scales, the storm is not yet intense enough to have a significant effect on satellites or air travelers. It is, however, trending upward, so the situation could change. 

    M-CLASS SOLAR FLARE: Sunspot AR1778 produced an impulsive M2-class solar flare on June 23rd at 20:56 UT. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the extreme ultraviolet flash:
    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 M2_strip2
    The eruption flung material away from the blast site, but the debris does not appear to be heading toward Earth. Except for the effects of the UV flash, which created a short-lived wave of ionization in Earth's upper atmosphere, this flare was not geo-effective.
    More flares could be in the offing. In addition to AR1778, sunspots AR1775 and AR1776 have 'beta-gamma' magnetic fields that harbor energy for significant eruptions. NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of M-flares and a 5% chance of X-flares on June 24th.

    Solar wind
    speed: 510.2 km/sec

    Coronal Holes: 23 Jun 13
    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 Coronalhole_sdo_200
      Earth is inside a stream of solar wind flowing from the indicated coronal hole. Credit: SDO/AIA.


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.

    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Tue Jun 25, 2013 12:21 pm

    10,000th NEAR-EARTH OBJECT DISCOVERED: 10,000 near-Earth asteroids and comets have now been discovered. The 10,000th object, asteroid 2013 MZ5, was detected on June 18th by the Pan-STARRS-1 telescope in Maui. Sobering estimate: NASA says there may be 10 times this number yet to find. [full story]
    CORONAL HOLE: The biggest thing on the sun today is not a sunspot, it's a coronal hole. The yawning dark gap in the sun's atmosphere is almost directly facing Earth, as shown in this June 25th image from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:
    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 Coronalhole_strip
    Coronal holes are places where the sun's magnetic field opens up and allows solar wind to escape. A stream of solar wind flowing from this particular coronal hole will reach Earth on June 29-30. Because the coronal hole is straddling the sun's equator, the solar wind it is sending our way should make a direct hit on our planet's magnetic field. The impact could spark geomagnetic storms around the poles. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras at the end of the month.
    Solar wind speed: 516.0 km/sec


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.

    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Wed Jun 26, 2013 10:02 am

    QUIET SUN: Solar activity is low. None of the sunspots on the Earthside of the sun has the kind of complex magnetic field that harbors energy for strong flares. NOAA forecasters put the odds of an M-class solar flare at 20% on June 26th, waning to 10% on June 27th.

    NOCTILUCENT CLOUDS--AIR VS AIM: Every day, NASA's AIM spacecraft maps the distribution of noctilucent clouds (NLCs) around Earth's north pole. The results are displayed on spaceweather.com in the form of the "daily daisy." On June 20th, pilot Brian Whittaker flew past a vivid display of NLCs over the North Atlantic Ocean and he decided to compare his own view to that of AIM. Here are the results:

    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 Airbornenlcs_strip

    "Once again, AIM's daily daisy-wheel allowed me to see where the northern horizon noctilucent clouds truly were!" says Whittaker. "This display reached a maximum height of about 10 degrees as seen from 37,000 feet at 50N latitude. It was my 4th and best sighting of 2013 so far."

    2013 is shaping up to be a good year for NLCs. The clouds surprised researchers by appearing early this year, and many bright displays have already been recorded. Once confined to the Arctic, NLCs have been sighted in recent years as far south as Utah, Colorado, and Nebraska. They might spread even farther south in 2013.

    Observing tips: Look west 30 to 60 minutes after sunset when the sun has dipped 6o to 16o below the horizon. If you see luminous blue-white tendrils spreading across the sky, you've probably spotted a noctilucent cloud.


    _________________
    What is life?
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    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Fri Jun 28, 2013 9:19 pm

    GEOMAGNETIC STORM: A minor (Kp=5) geomagnetic storm is underway around the poles. Solar wind conditions favor auroras at high latitudes, although in the northern hemisphere solstice twilight will sharply reduce visibility. Aurora alerts: text, voice.

    EARTH-DIRECTED CME: June 28th began with a double solar flare. Magnetic fields around sunspots AR1777 and AR1778 erupted in quick succession between 0130 UT and 0345 UT, producing two C-class (C4, C7) flares. A CME emerging from the sprawling blast site appears to be heading for Earth, although not squarely. Click to view a coronagraph movie from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory:

    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 C3_strip2

    An analysis of this complicated event is still underway. It is possible that Earth's magnetic field will receive a glancing blow from the CME on or about June 30th. The impact could cause minor geomagnetic storms. Stay tuned for updates.


    _________________
    What is life?
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    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    Post  Carol Sat Jun 29, 2013 11:36 am

    SUBSIDING STORM: A geomagnetic storm that began late on June 28th when Earth passed through a region of south-pointing magnetism in the solar wind is subsiding. At its peak (Kp=7), the storm sparked Northern Lights in the USA as far south as Kansas. In total, observers in more than a dozen US states have reported green and purple skies over night.

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    The storm also ignited auroras in the southern hemisphere. "There was lots of colour visible to naked eye--very strong," reports Jo Malcomson from South Arm, Tasmania.
    Solar wind speed: 415.4 km/sec 6/30/13 Solar wind speed: 534.0 km/sec


    Last edited by Carol on Sun Jun 30, 2013 5:46 pm; edited 1 time in total


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    Post  Carol Sat Jun 29, 2013 11:39 am

    Solar watch: Earth hit by back to back geomagnetic storms
    June 29, 2013 – SPACE – EARTH-DIRECTED CME: When the current spate of geomagnetic storms is over, another could follow close on its heels. A coronal mass ejection (CME)is expected to deliver a glancing blow to Earth’s magnetic field late on June 30th or early on July 31st. The cloud was propelled in our direction during the early hours of June 28th when magnetic filaments around sunspot AR1777 erupted. The explosion registered approximately C4 on the Richter Scale of Solar Flares. Because the CME is not heading squarely toward Earth, there is still a chance that it will miss. Stay tuned for updates as the arrival time approaches. – Space Weather


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    Post  Carol Thu Jul 04, 2013 9:34 am

    A SLOW CME APPROACHES: NOAA forecasters estimate a 60% chance of minor geomagnetic storms on July 5th when a slow-moving CME is expected to sweep languidly past Earth. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras on July 5-6. Aurora alerts: text, voice.

    SUNSPOTS OF INTEREST: A massive array of sunspots has rotated over the sun's southeastern limb, sharply boosting the odds of a solar flare. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory photographed sunspot complex AR1785-1787 during the early hours of the 4th of July:

    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 Interest_strip2
    The leading sunspot, AR1785, has a 'beta-gamma' magnetic field that harbors energy for strong M-class solar flares. NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of such eruptions on July 4th. The fireworks will not, however, be Earth-directed because the sunspot is located near the sun's limb. This could change in the days ahead as the sun's rotation turns AR1785 toward our planet.
    The largest dark cores in this sunspot complex are as wide as Earth, making the ensemble an easy target for backyard solar telescopes. Amateur astronomers are encouraged to monitor developments.


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    Post  Carol Fri Jul 05, 2013 1:16 pm

    EARTH AT APHELION: Today, you are farther from the sun than usual. Earth's orbit around the sun is not a perfect circle, it's an ellipse, and on July 5th, Earth is at the most distant end of the curve. Astronomers call this "aphelion." When we are at aphelion, the sun appears smaller in the sky (by 1.7%) and global solar heating is actually a little less (by 3.5%) than the yearly average. This provides scant relief from northern summer heat; click here for reasons why.

    BIG SOUTHERN SUNSPOTS: One of the biggest sunspot groups of Solar Cycle 24 is emerging near the sun's southeastern limb. AR1785 has a "beta-gamma-delta" magnetic field that harbors energy for powerful X-class solar flares. Another active region trailing behind it, AR1787, is only slightly less potent, with a magnetic field capable of M-class eruptions. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory photographed the sprawling complex during the early hours of July 5th:

    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 Interest_strip2
    These sunspots are a sign that the sun's southern hemisphere is waking up. For most of the current solar cycle, the northern half of the sun has dominated sunspot counts and flare production. The south has been lagging behind--until now. June brought a surge in southern sunspots, and the trend is continuing in July. This "southern awakening" could herald a double-peaked Solar Maximum due in late 2013-early 2014.

    The largest dark cores in sunspot complex AR1785-1787 are as wide as Earth, making the ensemble an easy target for backyard solar telescopes. Amateur astronomers are encouraged to monitor developments, as NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of M-flares during the next 24 hours


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    Post  Carol Wed Jul 17, 2013 3:27 pm

    CHANCE OF STORMS: According to NOAA forecasters the odds of a polar geomagnetic storm on July 17th are 25%, increasing to 50% on July 18th when a solar wind stream is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras. Sunspots AR1791 and AR1793 pose a threat for M-class solar flares. Solar wind flowing from the indicated coronal hole could reach Earth on July 19-20 Solar wind speed: 368.4 km/sec

    AURORAS OVER YELLOWSTONE: A CME swept past Earth on July 13th. The impact was gentle and did not spark a geomagnetic storm. However, south-pointing magnetic fields in the CME's wake had greater effect. The "negative Bz" opened a crack in Earth's magnetosphere, allowing solar wind to pour in and fuel high-latitude auroras. Zack Clothier photographed these over Yellowstone National Park on July 15th:

    SOHO LASCO C2 Latest Image - Page 20 Zack-Clothier-_DSC8718-copy-2_1374016823_lg

    "At about midnight on July 15th, just as the moon was setting, the lights came alive over White Dome Geyser in the Lower Geyser Basin of Yellowstone National Park," says Clothier. "While I was standing there in the darkness a coyote started howling nearby, adding to the already eeriness of the scene. If you look closely you can see a meteor streaking down towards the geyser, to the left of the Milky Way."

    More scenes like this are possible on July 18th when a solar wind stream is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. High-latitude sky watchers should remain alert for auroras.


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    Post  Carol Sat Jul 20, 2013 11:31 am

    CHANCE OF STORMS: Earth is inside a solar wind stream. A stream of high-speed solar wind is blowing past Earth. So far the low-density stream is doing little to spark geomagnetic storms. This could change, however, with a shift in the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF). A south-pointing IMF would allow this fast wind into Earth's magnetosphere, possibly sparking bright auroras. NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on July 20th. Sunspot AR1793 has a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class solar flares. However, the sunspot is quiet. Solar wind speed: 480.9 km/sec


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    Post  Carol Sat Jul 27, 2013 1:55 am

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    ERUPTING MAGNETIC FILAMENTS: During the late hours of July 26th, two filaments of magnetism erupted on the sun. The first to blow was this loop on the sun's southwestern limb: A second filament connecting sunspots AR1800 and AR1805 erupted shortly thereafter. Both blasts are captured in this movie, recorded by NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory.

    The explosions hurled coronal mass ejections (CMEs) into space: movie. One of them (the one propelled by the filament connecting AR1800 and AR1805) might be heading in the general direction of Earth. An analysis the CME's trajectory is in progress as more imagery becomes available. Sunspot AR1800 has a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class solar flares. Solar wind speed: 478.3 km/sec


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.

    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol

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