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    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Carol
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    • Post n°1

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Wed Dec 20, 2023 8:26 am

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Ramune-Sapailaite-20231219_153242-01_1703020213_strip
    POLAR STRATOSPHERIC CLOUDS

    COMING SOON--AN EARTH-DIRECTED FLARE: Now turning to face Earth, sunspot AR3529 is growing rapidly (movie), and it has a 'beta-gamma' magnetic field that poses a threat for strong M-class solar flares. Geoeffective explosions are likely this week.
    POLAR STRATOSPHERIC CLOUDS: polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) are rare.
    ==

    Strong M6.2 earthquake hits southern Peru - Wednesday, December 20, 2023
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/20/strong-m6-2-earthquake-hits-southern-peru/
    71 000 people are estimated to have felt moderate shaking and 2 023 000 light. The USGS issued a Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage. Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.
    ==

    Volcanic eruption starts near Grindavik, Reykjanes Peninsula, Iceland - Tuesday, December 19, 2023
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/19/volcanic-eruption-starts-near-grindavik-reykjanes-peninsula-iceland/
    A new volcanic fissure eruption started at 22:17 UTC on December 18, 2023, about 4 km (2.5 miles) NE of the town of Grindavik, Reykjanes, Iceland. The eruptive fissure is about 4 km long, with the northern end just east of Stóra-Skógfell and the southern end just east of Sundhnúk. The eruption was preceded by an earthquake swarm that started at 21:00 UTC.
    According to the aerial observations performed by 02:10 UTC on December 19 as well as seismicity, the eruption fissure is expanding to the south. At the time, the southern end of the fissure was close to Sundhnúkur. Officials are warning this new eruption is not tourist-friendly and seems to be significantly larger than the Fagradalsfjall in 2021.
    The eruptive fissure is currently about 4 km (2.5 miles) long, with the northern end just east of Stóra-Skógfell and the southern end just east of Sundhnúk. The distance from the southern end to the edge of Grindavík is almost 3 km (1.8 miles).
    ==

    Rare snowfall hits southern China as north endures deep freeze - Wednesday, December 20, 2023
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/20/rare-snowfall-hits-southern-china-as-north-endures-deep-freeze/
    China is currently undergoing a wave of cold weather, bringing rare snowfall to areas as far south as Guangdong province. Meanwhile, the northern parts of the country are experiencing near-historic low temperatures. In the north, temperatures have dipped below zero, affecting transportation and causing issues such as a brake failure on a Beijing commuter train. Despite early predictions of a warmer winter due to El Niño, the reality has been a week of frigid weather following one of the warmest Octobers in decades. Guangdong, typically seeing limited snowfall, experienced a snowy mountain top just 80 km (50 miles) north of Guangzhou. The region, usually enjoying double-digit temperatures in early winter, is now facing a low of 8 °C (46 °F).
    ==

    Strong and shallow M6.2 earthquake hits Gansu-Qinghai border region, China - December 18, 2023
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/18/strong-and-shallow-m6-0-earthquake-hits-gansu-qinghai-border-region-china/
    ==

    NWS warns of excessive rainfall in California - Wednesday, December 20, 2023 The National Weather Service warns of a Moderate Risk of excessive rainfall in Southern California, with potential flash flooding and mudflows, as a series of storms approach the state.
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/20/nws-warns-of-excessive-rainfall-in-california/
    ==

    Flood emergency: Thousands urged to evacuate in Queensland amid severe floods, Australia - December 17, 2023
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/17/flood-emergency-thousands-urged-to-evacuate-in-queensland-amid-severe-floods-australia/
    ==

    Record rainfall and major flooding hit Carolinas as storm moves up East Coast - December 18, 2023
    The storm, which brought tropical-storm-like conditions to Florida on Saturday, December 16, caused flash flood emergencies along the South Carolina coast on Sunday. The system intensified as it moved northeastward, posing threats of flooding, high winds, and severe weather that could disrupt travel plans in the Northeast, mid-Atlantic, and Southeast.
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/18/record-rainfall-and-major-flooding-hit-carolinas-as-storm-moves-up-east-coast/
    ==

    Deadly floods and landslides strike West Sumatra, lahar warnings issued, Indonesia - Wednesday, December 20, 2023
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/20/deadly-floods-and-landslides-strike-west-sumatra-lahar-warnings-issued-indonesia/
    Two people have died in West Sumatra, Indonesia, due to a landslide in Agam regency, with floods and landslides affecting other areas, including Lima Puluh Kota. Officials are urging residents living near Marapi volcano to be vigilant of potential cold lava flows (lahars).
    This concern stems from Mount Marapi’s significant eruption on December 3, 2023, which claimed the lives of 23 climbers. The sudden eruption ejected volcanic ash up to 15 km (50,000 feet) into the air and generated a pyroclastic flow extending 3 km (1.8 miles) on the northern slope. The aftermath left climbers stranded and nearby villages covered in volcanic debris.
    ==

    Extremely heavy monsoon rains in Tamil Nadu lead to fatal flooding, significant livestock losses, India - December 20, 2023 This monsoon season has seen Thirunelveli district receiving 760 mm (29.9 inches) of rainfall, 61 percent above the normal level, while Thoothukudi recorded normal rainfall of 349 mm (13.7 inches) since October.
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/20/extremely-heavy-monsoon-rains-in-tamil-nadu-lead-to-fatal-flooding-significant-livestock-losses-india/
    ==

    Small explosion at Kanaga volcano, Aviation Color Code raised to Yellow, Alaska - December 19, 2023
    The event was detected in local infrasound and seismic data and was followed by elevated earthquake seismicity that is ongoing. No ash emissions have been observed in partly cloudy satellite images. The last eruption of this volcano took place on February 18, 2012 (VEI 2).
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/19/small-explosion-at-kanaga-volcano-aviation-color-code-raised-to-yellow-alaska/
    ==

    Severe soil liquefaction hits Minhe County after M6.2 earthquake in Gansu, China - December 19, 2023
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/19/severe-soil-liquefaction-hits-minhe-county-after-m6-2-earthquake-in-gansu-china/
    According to reports, half of one village in Minhe County was engulfed in mud, killing 19 people. The village is located about 10 km (6.2 miles) from the epicenter of the M6.2 earthquake that hit at 15:59 UTC (23:59 local time) on December 18. As of 18:00 UTC on December 19, the earthquake’s death toll has exceeded 120, with over 700 people injured. Authorities expect fatalities to rise as the extent of the damage becomes clearer. Over 5 000 buildings have been impacted by the quake, many of which were struck by subsequent mudslides, and numerous roads have suffered damage due to landslides


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.
    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    • Post n°2

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Sun Dec 24, 2023 7:25 am

    Good morning. Sunday, December 24th - Christmas Eve
    NE/OR 7°F Very Cold & Calm

    ==

    Beijing Records Most Hours of Sub-Zero Temperatures Since 1951
    https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/china-cold-weather/2023/12/24/id/1147043/
    Northern and northeastern parts of the country have experienced a record-breaking chill since last week, with some areas in the northeast hitting minus 40 Celsius (minus 40 Fahrenheit) and below as biting cold air flowed down from the Arctic.

    As of Sunday, a weather observatory in Beijing had recorded more than 300 hours of below-freezing temperatures since Dec. 11, the most for the month since records began in 1951, according to state-backed Beijing Daily.

    The capital has also endured nine consecutive days of temperatures below minus 10 C (14 F) in this period, the Beijing Daily added.

    Several cities in the central Chinese province of Henan, southwest of Beijing, are in the grip of a winter heating supply crunch, with thermal power suppliers in the city of Jiaozuo under pressure to ensure supplies.

    Heating boilers at JiaoZuo WanFang Aluminum Manufacturing , one of the major suppliers in the city, have broken down, leaving some areas in urgent need of more heat supply, state media reported on Sunday.
    ==

    Strong eruption at Marapi volcano, Indonesia - December 22, 2023
    The eruption produced a volcanic ash column that reached at least 4.8 km (16 000 feet) above sea level, drifting south.
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/22/strong-eruption-at-marapi-volcano-indonesia/
    ==

    Severe flash flooding hits Southern California, millions under Flood Watch - December 22, 2023
    Southern California is under a dangerous flood threat with heavy rainfall impacting Los Angeles and San Diego areas, and moving eastward. Flood Watch is in effect for more than 20 million people from Southern California to central Arizona. The NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has classified a swath of Southern California in a Level 3 out of 4 risk zone for flash flooding due to the overall rainfall amounts and potential for bursts of thunderstorm-triggered heavier rain, especially over recent wildfire burn-scar areas.
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/22/severe-flash-flooding-hits-southern-california-millions-under-flood-watch/
    ==

    Shallow M6.1 earthquake hits south of Africa - December 22, 2023
    The agency is reporting a depth of 10 km (6.2 miles). EMSC is reporting the same magnitude and depth. The epicenter was located about 2 018 km (1 252 miles) S of Port Elizabeth, South Africa. The USGS issued a Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage. There are likely to be no affected structures in this region.
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/22/shallow-m6-1-earthquake-hits-south-of-africa/
    ==

    Firefighters battle major wildfire near Cape Town, South Africa - December 21, 2023
    Hundreds of firefighters are battling a wildfire that spread across a mountain near Cape Town, endangering South Africa’s largest naval base and leading to the evacuation of nearby houses.
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/21/firefighters-battle-major-wildfire-near-cape-town-south-africa/


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.
    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    • Post n°3

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Sun Dec 24, 2023 7:31 am

    RECORD-COLD WEATHER IN THE STRATOSPHERE: Now we know why polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) have suddenly exploded. According to NASA's MERRA-2 climate model, temperatures in the Arctic stratosphere just hit a 40-year record low for the month of December:


    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Recordlow_strip


    Cold air in the stratosphere is exactly what PSCs require. Normally, the stratosphere has no clouds at all. But when the temperature drops to a staggeringly-low -85 C, widely-spaced water molecules coalesce into ice crystals and PSCs begin to form. Their aurora-like colors make them the most beautiful clouds on Earth.

    PSCs are normally confined to the Arctic where the stratosphere is coldest. During this week's extreme cold wave, the clouds descended all the way to mid-latitudes. Here they are over Locarno,Switzerland (+46N):


    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Switzerland_strip


    "I saw these clouds for the first time on Dec. 22nd," says photographer Branca Cristina. "The colors were amazing!"

    At the same time, the clouds were sighted in Torun, Italy (+45N); the next morning they appeared again in Lausanne, Switzerland (+47N). These are extraordinary excursions from normal PSC habitat.

    The season for PSCs usually starts in January. The current cold wave has given the season an early start, and could herald many more clouds in the weeks to come. To help sky watchers catch these rare clouds, we will henceforth publish daily predictions of temperatures in the Arctic stratosphere. When the air is cold,

    ==

    LARGE FARSIDE SUNSPOT: There is a sunspot on the farside of the sun so large it is affecting the way the whole sun vibrates. Helioseismologists have pinpointed its echo, right here. The active region is about one week from rotating onto the Earthside of the sun. Meanwhile, stay tuned for some impressive farside halo CMEs.


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.
    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    • Post n°4

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    Post  Carol Mon Dec 25, 2023 3:18 pm

    A CME IS COMING: Yesterday, Dec. 24th, a magnificant filament of magnetism erupted from the sun's northern hemisphere, hurling a CME into space. Most of the CME is expected to pass north of our planet--most, but not all. NASA models suggest a glancing blow on Dec. 27th. Minor G1-class geomagnetic storms are possible on that date.
    ==

    Potential for disrupted polar vortex in January 2024
    December 25, 2023
    Current forecasts indicate a strong stratospheric warming event in January 2024, potentially leading to a weakened Polar Vortex and a significant weather pattern shift across the United States and Europe.…
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/25/potential-for-disrupted-polar-vortex-in-january-2024/

    Meteorologists are closely monitoring a developing stratospheric warming event, forecasted for January 2024, which could signal a weakening or even collapse of the polar vortex. This significant atmospheric shift may herald a much-anticipated change in the weather patterns across the United States and Europe as winter deepens.

    Understanding the polar vortex is key to grasping mid-winter weather shifts. Essentially a broad winter circulation, the polar vortex extends high into the stratosphere, impacting weather events in the troposphere below. This system, divided into upper (stratospheric) and lower (tropospheric) parts, plays a crucial role in forming the winter climate across the Northern Hemisphere.

    Currently, the polar vortex is normal in size but displaced due to a high-pressure area over the North Pacific. This distortion is evident in mid-stratospheric temperature and geopotential height observations. A small warming wave marks the beginning of more dramatic changes anticipated with the upcoming stratospheric warming event.

    The strength and structure of the polar vortex significantly influence mid-latitude weather. A stable and robust polar vortex typically confines colder Arctic air, leading to milder conditions in the United States. Conversely, a weak or disrupted polar vortex allows cold air to spill into mid-latitudes, bringing colder, snowier conditions. Such disruptions are often marked by Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) events, where the winds within the vortex weaken, indicating potential changes in weather patterns.

    As we approach 2024, forecasts predict a major slowdown of the polar vortex combined with a significant warming event.

    Various models, including ECMWF and GEFS, indicate a substantial weakening in early January, potentially leading to a full collapse of the polar vortex. This event, characterized by a dramatic temperature and pressure rise in the stratosphere, can disturb the circulation, initiating a collapse of the polar vortex and subsequently altering weather patterns at the surface.

    Typically following a stratospheric warming event, high-pressure anomalies descend from the stratosphere to the surface, weakening the jet stream and unlocking Arctic cold air. This pattern is visible in surface pressure and temperature forecasts, suggesting colder anomalies over the United States and a potential for northerly flows in Europe.

    The implications of a weakened polar vortex are profound, offering the possibility of a colder and snowier January     compared to the warmer conditions experienced in December. While specifics are still emerging, the trends indicate a marked shift in weather patterns.
    ==

    Major winter storm to impact Christmas travel in Plains and Midwest with heavy snow, blizzard conditions and ice
    December 25, 2023
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/25/major-winter-storm-to-impact-christmas-travel-in-plains-and-midwest-with-heavy-snow-blizzard-conditions-and-ice/

    As the holiday season peaks, a major winter storm is set to create dangerous travel conditions across the Northern Plains, Central Plains, and Upper Midwest. The National Weather Service (NWS) Weather Prediction Center has issued key messages, highlighting the potential for heavy snow, blizzard conditions, and freezing rain through Tuesday, December 26, 2023.

    This impactful winter storm is expected to develop tonight, December 24, 2023. The NWS anticipates significant snowfall, with rates of 25 – 50 mm (1 – 2 inches) per hour, especially in parts of South Dakota and Nebraska. Regions such as south-central South Dakota into central Nebraska are likely to experience more than 30 cm (12 inches) of snow, while most of Nebraska, South Dakota, and northern Kansas could see over 10 cm (4 inches) of accumulation.

    The storm’s intensity will result in dangerous blizzard conditions due to the combination of heavy snowfall and strong winds, with gusts reaching up to 90 km/h (55 mph). These conditions are expected to create near-impossible travel scenarios, with snow-covered roads and whiteout conditions. Moreover, the strong winds pose a risk of causing tree branch and power line damage.

    In addition to snow, parts of the Upper Midwest are set to experience a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain starting Monday afternoon. The likelihood of accumulating 2.5 mm (0.1 inches) or more of ice across regions like southwest Minnesota, eastern Dakotas, and towards the Arrowhead of Minnesota is high. This could result in slippery roads and walkways, and isolated power outages are a possibility.

    The storm is anticipated to have widespread travel impacts, affecting road and air transportation significantly. With the forecast indicating heavy snow enveloping areas from central Kansas to northern Minnesota, drivers and travelers are advised to exercise extreme caution.

    As the storm moves eastward into the central High Plains on December 26, the weather conditions are expected to gradually weaken. However, the Red River Valley of the North and northern Minnesota will continue to grapple with icy conditions.

    Simultaneously, a new potent Pacific storm system is predicted to bring heavy coastal rain and wintry precipitation to the Cascades by Monday night and into Tuesday morning. This could lead to hazardous travel conditions in regions like the Columbia River Valley and Basin.


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.
    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    • Post n°5

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Wed Dec 27, 2023 9:31 am

    Beijing hit by record December lows, longest cold wave since 1951, China - December 27, 2023 Beijing has recorded its longest cold wave since records began in 1951, with the capital experiencing more than 300 hours of sub-zero temperatures since December 11.
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/27/beijing-hit-by-record-december-lows-longest-cold-wave-since-1951-china/
    ==

    Destructive thunderstorms hit Australia’s east coast, leaving 10 fatalities - December 27, 2023
    Ten people have lost their lives in a series of storm and water-related incidents across Australia, spanning from Queensland to Victoria, as severe thunderstorms battered the east coast from December…
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/27/destructive-thunderstorms-hit-australias-east-coast-leaving-10-fatalities/
    ==

    Potential for disrupted polar vortex in January 2024 - Monday, December 25, 2023
    Current forecasts indicate a strong stratospheric warming event in January 2024, potentially leading to a weakened Polar Vortex and a significant weather pattern shift across the United States and Europe. Meteorologists are closely monitoring a developing stratospheric warming event, forecasted for January 2024, which could signal a weakening or even collapse of the polar vortex. This significant atmospheric shift may herald a much-anticipated change in the weather patterns across the United States and Europe as winter deepens.
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/25/potential-for-disrupted-polar-vortex-in-january-2024/
    ==

    Storm Gerrit to bring strong winds, heavy rain and snow to UK - December 27, 2023 Gerrit will bring significant impacts to much of the UK as it approaches the western regions. Southern coastal areas of England are expected to experience the strongest gusts, with winds possibly peaking around 113 km/h (70 mph) on exposed coastlines and averaging 80 – 97 km/h (50 – 60 mph) within the designated warning areas.
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/27/storm-gerrit-to-bring-strong-winds-heavy-rain-and-snow-to-uk/


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.
    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    • Post n°6

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    Post  Carol Fri Dec 29, 2023 10:52 am

    BIG FARSIDE SUNSPOT: Helioseismic maps of the farside of the sun continue to show a large hidden sunspot. Based on its current location, the active region will rotate onto the Earthside of the sun early next week.

    ESCAPE FROM THE SUN: A plasma twister in the sun's northern hemisphere broke apart on Dec. 28th and hurled a spinning cloud of hot gas into space. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded its escape:

    At first glance this tiny cloud may seem inconsequential. However, on its way out of the sun's atmosphere, it triggered magnetic instabilities that turned into a surprisingly large CME. Here it is. The CME will not hit Earth.
    ==

    Major incident declared in Tameside after tornado rips through during Storm Gerrit, UK - December 28, 2023
    A small tornado, produced by Storm Gerrit, tore through Greater Manchester, UK around 23:45 UTC on December 27, 2023, leading to significant damage and the declaration of a major incident…
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/28/major-incident-declared-in-tameside-after-tornado-rips-through-during-storm-gerrit-uk/
    ==

    Flood warnings issued as rivers in the Netherlands swell to record highs - December 28, 2023 Record-high water levels in the Rhine and Vecht Rivers following a rainy Christmas Day across western Europe have caused significant disruptions in the Netherlands, leading to widespread concern and impacts throughout the country. The Vecht River’s water level was recorded at 13.14 m (43.11 feet) above NAP on Wednesday, December 27, surpassing the previous record set in 1998 for 7 cm (2.75 inches)​​. Normaal Amsterdams Peil (NAP) is the average sea level at the North Sea used for measurements across Europe. The peak is expected to move across the rivers in the Netherlands in the coming days.
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/28/flood-warnings-issued-as-rivers-in-the-netherlands-swell-to-record-highs/
    ==

    Floods and landslides claim more than 60 lives in the Democratic Republic of Congo - December 28, 2023
    The city of Bukavu, home to an estimated two million people in South Kivu province, faced the brunt of the disaster with at least 20 fatalities reported on Tuesday, December 26, 2023. Among the tragic incidents, a wall collapsed on worshippers during a church service in Bukavu, claiming five lives, as reported by Albert Migabo Nyagaza, a local official and pastor. Additionally, three other people were swept away in the flooding. Residents like Yvonne Mukupi have witnessed the horror firsthand, with neighbors swept away by the relentless floodwaters and bodies being recovered under trees. Another 20 lives were lost in the village of Burinyi, situated 50 km (31 miles) from Bukavu.

    Heavy rains, floods and landslides were also reported in Kasai-Central province, where at least 22 people died on Tuesday. Authorities of the town of Kananga said a landslide engulfed houses, churches and roads, killing entire families and leaving people homeless.

    “Most of these deaths were caused by the collapse of the walls of houses built on unsuitable land,” Kananga Mayor Rose Muadi Musube said. “I am asking the prime minister to come to our aid and for the government to provide us with substantial assistance so that we can bury our dead with dignity,” Muadi Musube added.
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/28/floods-and-landslides-claim-more-than-60-lives-in-the-democratic-republic-of-congo/
    ==

    Strong and shallow M6.5 earthquake hits Kuril Islands
    December 28, 2023     7 000 people are estimated to have felt light shaking.There is no tsunami threat from this earthquake. The USGS issued a Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
    https://watchers.news/2023/12/28/strong-and-shallow-m6-5-earthquake-hits-kuril-islands/


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.
    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    • Post n°7

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Tue Jan 09, 2024 5:55 am

    Dual atmospheric rivers forecast to bring heavy rainfall to Eastern and Midwest U.S. - January 9, 2024
    The Eastern and Midwest regions of the United States are bracing for heavy precipitation this week, as two low pressure systems and associated atmospheric rivers (AR) pose significant flood risks…
    https://watchers.news/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/noaa-goes-east-0830-utc-january-9-2024-ctp.webp

    The Eastern and Midwest regions of the United States are bracing for heavy precipitation this week, as two low pressure systems and associated atmospheric rivers (AR) pose significant flood risks and severe weather threats.

    Major storm system will hammer the Eastern U.S. with widespread heavy rain, strong winds, and severe thunderstorms on Tuesday into early Wednesday, January 9 – 10, 2024.

    Widespread hazardous weather impacts are expected and numerous warnings and advisories are now in effect from the local NWS forecast offices.

    Severe thunderstorms are expected from northern Florida to the coastal plain of the Carolinas, where a favorable combination of kinematics and instability will fuel intense storms capable of producing damaging winds and tornadoes.

    The Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes (CW3E) reported on January 8, 2024, that two potent low pressure systems, each associated with an atmospheric river, are forecast to impact the Eastern and Midwest regions of the United States. The first strong atmospheric river, with an Integrated Water Vapor Transport (IVT) exceeding 1 200 kg m-1 s-1 in the core, developed early on Monday, January 8, and is expected to progress up the US East Coast through Wednesday, January 10, before moving out to the Atlantic.

    This system is predicted to deliver a mix of heavy rain and snow to the Eastern US. Given the recent atmospheric river that impacted the region, there is an increased threat of flooding. The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has forecast a Moderate Risk (40% chance) of flooding in select areas through Tuesday night.

    The first event’s association with a stronger atmospheric river and low pressure system brings significant moisture, leading to heavy precipitation across the Eastern US. This follows a previous event on Saturday, January 6, which brought widespread precipitation and snowfall to the East Coast. The forecasted heavy rainfall, combined with previous conditions, poses a substantial flooding threat, particularly in areas that received over 25 mm (1 inch) of rain and in the Northeast, where rain-on-snow flooding is a concern.
    ==

    Major storms to produce widespread, significant impacts over much of the U.S. - January 8, 2024
    AWESOME IMAGE: https://watchers.news/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/goes-east-1750z-january-7-2024.webp

    The central Gulf Coast is facing an Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms tonight into early Tuesday morning. Severe thunderstorms capable of producing strong wind gusts and tornadoes are expected from southeast Texas across the central Gulf Coast this afternoon into early Tuesday morning, shifting into parts of southeastern Alabama, northern Florida, and parts of the Carolina Piedmont/Coastal Plain on Tuesday. The main threats will be very strong and damaging winds as well as a few tornadoes.

    Additionally, widespread and potentially significant river and flash flooding are likely for the central Gulf Coast and Eastern U.S. through early Wednesday, January 10. Powerful onshore winds will lead to widespread coastal flooding along the eastern Gulf Coast and much of the East Coast, with significant coastal flooding especially likely on the Mid-Atlantic coastline, including tidal rivers and bays.

    Parts of southeast Louisiana, southern Mississippi, and southwestern Alabama are at a Moderate Risk of Excessive Rainfall leading to Flash Flooding today, with this risk shifting into the Mid-Atlantic on Tuesday between northern Virginia, up the I-95 corridor, and into western Massachusetts. The existing snowpack from recent snowstorms may exacerbate runoff concerns in these areas.

    Wind gusts in excess of 80 km/h (50 mph) are likely in the eastern Gulf Coast, Central Appalachians, much of the East Coast, and New England, raising the potential for power outages.In addition, another pair of powerful winter storm systems will cross the Pacific Northwest tonight and Tuesday night, bringing several feet of heavy snow and strong winds across the Cascades.

    Blizzard conditions are likely, with snow levels rising to around 1 500 m (5 000 feet) tonight due to an atmospheric river, but quickly falling to between 450 and 750 m (1 500 and 2 500 feet) behind a cold front on Tuesday, causing considerable impacts for many mountain passes with the second storm Tuesday night. Over 30 cm (1 foot) of snow is highly likely in the higher elevations of the Northern Rockies on Tuesday and Wednesday.

    Residents across the affected regions are urged to stay updated with the latest weather forecasts, adhere to safety advisories, and prepare for a range of severe weather conditions.A strengthening storm is set to impact the Central and Southern U.S., bringing a mix of heavy snow, strong winds, blizzard conditions in the Plains and Midwest, severe thunderstorms across the Gulf Coast, and widespread flooding this week. In addition, a major winter storm will bring several feet of snow to the Washington and Oregon Cascades through Tuesday, January 9, 2024.

    The United States is bracing for major storms this week, with forecasters warning of widespread, significant impacts across much of the country. As a deep and dynamic mid-latitude cyclone organizes over the Central/Southern Plains, regions are preparing for a confluence of severe weather conditions.

    In the Plains and Midwest, heavy snow is developing and will advance into the area tonight and continue through Tuesday. Residents can expect bursts of heavy snow, with accumulations up to 50 mm (2 inches) per hour, leading to hazardous travel conditions.

    A blizzard is particularly expected in the Plains of northeast New Mexico, eastern Colorado, the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles, western Kansas, and southwest Nebraska, where wind gusts as high as 100 – 112 km/h (60 – 70 mph) will create whiteouts and make travel extremely dangerous to impossible. Those in the area are urged to pack a winter survival kit as wind chills are expected to plummet below zero.

    ==

    Shallow M6.0 earthquake hits off the coast of Noto Peninsula, site of destructive M7.6 earthquake on January 1 - January 9, 2024 A strong and shallow earthquake registered by the JMA as M6.0 hit off the coast of Noto Peninsula, Japan at 08:59 UTC on January 9, 2024. The agency is reporting a depth of 10 km (6.2 miles). The USGS is reporting M5.9 at a depth of 10 km. The epicenter was located about 55 km (34 miles) WSW of Sado (population 20 000), Niigata, and about 75 km (46 miles) NNE of M7.6 earthquake that hit Noto Peninsula on January 1, leaving more than 200 people dead. According to the USGS PAGER, 15 000 people are estimated to have felt moderate shaking and 4 058 000 light. There is no tsunami threat from this earthquake.


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    • Post n°8

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Tue Jan 09, 2024 6:00 am

    THE POLAR VORTEX WOBBLED IN DECEMBER: Last month, sky watchers in Europe saw something rare and beautiful. A giant bank of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) escaped the Arctic Circle, and for more than a week they filled skies with rainbow color as far south as Italy. In the Italian comune of Sanfrè (latitude +45N), Pablo Javier Lucero was able to photograph the clouds at all hours of the day:

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Daynight_strip2
    "Utterly incredible!" says Lucero. "I first saw the clouds at sunset on Dec. 22nd. After talking with a friend of mine, Jorgelina Alvarez, a meteorologist, we realized that these weren't ordinary iridescent clouds, but rather Type II polar stratospheric clouds. My surprise was gigantic."

    Surprise is the correct reaction. Normally, Earth's stratosphere has no clouds at all. Only when the temperature drops to a staggeringly-low -85 C can widely-spaced water molecules assemble into icy polar stratospheric clouds. With colors that rival auroras, PSCs are considered to be the most beautiful clouds on Earth.

    During the outbreak, Spaceweather.com received hundreds of photos of PSCs. Curiously, they all came from Europe. Not a single cloud was sighted in North America or Asia. Why not?

    Amy Butler of NOAA's Chemical Sciences Laboratory has the answer: "The polar vortex can wobble like a top, and in December it was displaced towards Europe," she explains. "You can see this in the figure below from Zac Lawrence's website stratobserve.com."

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Wobble_strip

    Cold air normally contained over the poles was carried by the wobbling vortex to mid-latitudes. Purple and green contours in the figure show where temperatures were cold enough for Type I and Type II PSCs, respectively.

    Since the December outbreak of PSCs, which ended around Christmas, the polar stratosphere has warmed more than 30 degrees Celsius. Butler says this is probably the result of "a strong planetary wave breaking in the stratosphere." Wave energy warmed the air and dispersed the rainbow-colored clouds.

    The clouds might return. As January unfolds, the polar stratospheric vortex is still tilted toward mid-latitudes in Europe. If the stratosphere cools again, PSCs could re-appear over many populated areas. You can monitor the situation with daily temperature reports right here on Spaceweather.com.


    Last edited by Carol on Tue Jan 09, 2024 7:36 am; edited 1 time in total


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    • Post n°9

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Tue Jan 09, 2024 6:52 am


    [size=16]This Storm Is Getting More Intense Every Minute... White out conditions in Texas.. tornado warnings

    ==


    Nasty Winter Storm Mid West and Great Lakes Region
    ==


    Alert Day Tuesday: The timing of possible severe storms and the potential impacts
    ==


    Triple Threat & East Coast Snowstorm | AccuWeather -  Blizzard warnings - worst is yet to come  In today's Chaos to Clarity, AccuWeather Chief Video Meteorologist Bernie Rayno talks about the first of two blizzards, then a triple threat, plus an East Coast storm -- all happening in the next week! It's a very exciting weather pattern and Bernie has the latest computer forecasts for a blizzard in Chicago and a possible blockbuster East Coast snowstorm for the major cities.
    ==


    Coming to Alaska: Another large Pacific storm
    ==


    Heavy rain, strong winds, and possible flooding


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    • Post n°10

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Tue Jan 09, 2024 7:07 am


    Polar Vortex Collapse - BAD NEWS This Winter!
    ==


    Polar Vortex Collapse by 2024? Fact, or Fiction? | Weather Watcher Explains The Polar Vortex - That phrase that seems to be all over the internet this time of the year. What really is it, though… and should we be worried about a supposed collapse? What would a collapse mean? I’ve got your questions answered in THIS video in under 4 minutes… minus the hype
    ==


    New Evidence We Are Entering An Ice Age Termination Event - EXPLAINED
    In 2006, Methane levels began to rapidly increase in Earth's atmosphere and haven't showed signs of slowing down. What is causing this mysterious spike? Are humans to blame or can this be attributed to the planet entering a ice age termination event?
    0:00 Are We Living in An Ice Age Termination Event?
    1:29 The History of Earth's Ice Ages
    4:00 What Happens During an Ice Age Termination Event?
    10:17 Why Are Methane Levels Rising?
    11:40 How Do We Measure Methane?
    12:33 Where Does Methane Come From?
    16:30 Conclusion


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    • Post n°11

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Wed Jan 10, 2024 11:29 am

    Powerful East Coast storm leaves 5 fatalities, nearly 1 million power outages, U.S. - January 10, 2024
    https://watchers.news

    A severe storm system struck the Eastern U.S. on January 9 and 10, 2024, resulting in coastal flooding, damaging winds, nearly a million power outages from New England to the mid-Atlantic states, and the tragic loss of at least five lives.

    As of 15:20 UTC on January 10, the storm has claimed at least five lives, with nearly 400 000 customers still without power. The worst affected state is currently New York with 140 000 customers without power, followed by Pennsylvania with 95 000, New Jersey with 55 000, Michigan with 52 000 and North Carolina with 48 000.

    Despite the end of rain in the Northeast, rising river levels now pose a major flooding threat, particularly along the Pawtuxet River in Rhode Island and the Pompton and Passaic rivers in New Jersey.

    Wisconsin and Michigan reported fatal car crashes due to adverse weather conditions, while in Cottonwood, Alabama, an 81-year-old woman tragically died in a tornado-related incident. Severe weather also claimed lives in Claremont, North Carolina, and Jonesboro, Georgia.

    Since January 8, at least 23 tornadoes have been reported across Texas, Alabama, Georgia, Florida, South Carolina, and North Carolina. The Midwest experienced up to 38 cm (15 inches) of snow, while the Northeast saw winds reaching 105 km/h (65 mph).
    ==

    Increased eruptive activity at Lewotobi, Alert Level raised to highest, evacuation orders issued, Indonesia - January 10, 2024

    Eruptive activity at the Lewotobi volcanic complex further increased over the past 10 days, prompting the Volcanology and Geological Disaster Mitigation Center (PVMBG) to raise the Alert Level to the highest (4 of 4) on January 9, 2024.

    According to PVMBG, seismicity at Lewotobi increased on December 12, 2023, and was followed by the emergence of “tornillo” earthquakes indicating fluid movement at depth. This activity was followed by a 24-minute-long eruption on December 23 at Lakilaki. A 160 m (525 feet) long fissure on the upper NW flank was visible afterward, emitting dense white plumes up to 300 m (985 feet) above the crater.

    A dense white-and-gray ash plume rising to 1 km (3 280 feet) above the summit was reported on December 28. On January 1, 2024, the amplitude of continuous tremors increased and a new vent opened along a fissure located on the upper SSE flank, producing a white, gray, and black ash plume that rose 1 – 1.5 km (3 280 – 4 920 feet) above the summit. As a result, the Alert Level was raised to 3 of 4, and the public was warned to stay 3 km (1.8 miles) away from the Perempuan and Lakilaki craters and an additional 4 km (2.5 miles) from the NNW and SSE flanks of Lakilaki.

    The volcano exhibited an increase in the maximum height of ash columns since the start of the year, from 2.4 km (8 000 feet) a.s.l. on January 1 to 4.3 km (14 000 feet) a.s.l. on January 9. This activity was accompanied by increasing tremors, incandescent lava bombs at the peak, and lava flows.
    ==

    Dual atmospheric rivers forecast to bring heavy rainfall to Eastern and Midwest U.S. - January 9, 2024
    https://watchers.news/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/noaa-goes-east-0830-utc-january-9-2024-ctp.webp
    The Eastern and Midwest regions of the United States are bracing for heavy precipitation this week, as two low pressure systems and associated atmospheric rivers (AR) pose significant flood risks and severe weather threats.

    Major storm system will hammer the Eastern U.S. with widespread heavy rain, strong winds, and severe thunderstorms on Tuesday into early Wednesday, January 9 – 10, 2024.
    Widespread hazardous weather impacts are expected and numerous warnings and advisories are now in effect from the local NWS forecast offices.

    Severe thunderstorms are expected from northern Florida to the coastal plain of the Carolinas, where a favorable combination of kinematics and instability will fuel intense storms capable of producing damaging winds and tornadoes.
    The Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes (CW3E) reported on January 8, 2024, that two potent low pressure systems, each associated with an atmospheric river, are forecast to impact the Eastern and Midwest regions of the United States. The first strong atmospheric river, with an Integrated Water Vapor Transport (IVT) exceeding 1 200 kg m-1 s-1 in the core, developed early on Monday, January 8, and is expected to progress up the US East Coast through Wednesday, January 10, before moving out to the Atlantic.

    This system is predicted to deliver a mix of heavy rain and snow to the Eastern US. Given the recent atmospheric river that impacted the region, there is an increased threat of flooding. The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has forecast a Moderate Risk (40% chance) of flooding in select areas through Tuesday night.

    The first event’s association with a stronger atmospheric river and low pressure system brings significant moisture, leading to heavy precipitation across the Eastern US. This follows a previous event on Saturday, January 6, which brought widespread precipitation and snowfall to the East Coast. The forecasted heavy rainfall, combined with previous conditions, poses a substantial flooding threat, particularly in areas that received over 25 mm (1 inch) of rain and in the Northeast, where rain-on-snow flooding is a concern.

    Precipitation is expected to exceed 38 mm (1.5 inches) across much of the Eastern Seaboard, with the highest totals above 76 mm (3 inches) forecast for the Southeastern US and New York City Metro regions. The WPC ERO indicates a Moderate Risk for rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance in southern Louisiana and Mississippi on Day 1, and in the Charlotte Metro, Mid-Atlantic, and NYC Metro regions on Day 2.

    The WPC’s Winter Storm Severity Index indicates Moderate Impacts expected in the Midwest and northern New England. Probabilistic winter precipitation forecasts suggest high chances of snowfall accumulations ≥ 51 mm (2 inches) in regions expected to receive moderate winter storm impacts.
    ==

    Florida State Guard activated as destructive tornadoes strike panhandle region - January 9, 2024

    A series of severe storms swept through the Florida panhandle on Tuesday morning, January 9, 2024, resulting in at least three reported tornadoes.

    The National Weather Service (NWS) has been issuing continuous watches and warnings in response to the severe weather conditions. These storms, associated with a powerful low and an accompanying cold front, have caused significant damage in the region, including tilting homes and flattening RVs.

    According to Ryan Truchelut, chief meteorologist at WeatherTiger, the severe weather impacts began Monday night and are expected to peak Tuesday morning in the Panhandle, continuing through Tuesday evening in the peninsula. The storm system is bringing a mix of potentially damaging winds, coastal flooding, tornadoes, and heavy rainfall.

    In preparation for the severe weather, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis activated the Florida State Guard on Monday. This proactive measure, announced in a news release from the governor’s office, aims to address the anticipated adverse weather conditions across the state.

    The NWS confirmed several tornadoes in the Panhandle on Tuesday morning, including near De Funiak Springs and Panama City, and another that crossed Interstate 10 near Marianna. While official confirmation of their strength and intensity is pending from the NWS, residents have taken to social media to share videos and pictures of the destruction left in the wake of these tornadoes.

    for rapid surface cyclogenesis over the Midwest and Ohio Valley on Tuesday,” NWS forecaster Hamrick noted. “The result will likely be a sub-980 mb surface low over Michigan by late Tuesday evening/night, and this low will continue lifting toward the northeast across southern Ontario and into Quebec by Wednesday afternoon.”

    A strong cold front trailing south from the parent low will exit the East Coast overnight Tuesday, January 9 across the Mid-Atlantic and into early Wednesday morning (LT), January 10 for the Northeast U.S. Widespread hazardous weather impacts are expected for the eastern third of the U.S. in association with this low pressure system, and numerous warnings and advisories are now in effect from the local NWS forecast offices.

    “One of the big things making weather headlines will be the widespread expanse of heavy rain capable of producing flooding from the Florida Panhandle all the way north to southern Maine,” Hamrick said.

    In addition, high wind warnings are in effect for many areas near the coast and storm warnings for the open waters, and power outages are a real possibility.

    “The strongest winds will be along the Atlantic coast and over the ridges of the Appalachians,” according to AccuWeather senior meteorologist Alex Sosnowski.

    “Tree and property damage are likely. Large tree limbs may come crashing down on sidewalks, vehicles, homes and businesses without notice. Trash cans and other unsecured items in neighborhoods may become projectiles. Power outages could be long-lasting, especially in remote, heavily wooded areas.”
    ==

    Land uplift measurements indicate rising eruption risk in Svartsengi area, Iceland - January 9, 2024
    The Icelandic Meteorological Office (IMO) warns of an increased risk of eruption in the Reykjanes area, following their analysis on January 9, 2024, which reveals magma accumulation beneath Svartsengi similar to levels prior to the December 18 eruption.

    Recent seismic activity and land uplift measurements have heightened concerns about a potential volcanic eruption in the Reykjanes Peninsula. The latest report by IMO indicates a substantial accumulation of magma beneath Svartsengi, reaching levels comparable to those that triggered the eruption on December 18, 2023.

    Earthquake activity, primarily concentrated between Hagafell and Stóra Skógfell near the center of the intrusion, continues to mirror patterns observed in recent days. Additionally, there is ongoing seismic activity in Fagradalsfjall, persisting since December 18.
    ==

    Monsoon to drench parts of northern Australia with heavy rains - January 9, 2024
    Parts of northern Australia, including Darwin, are bracing for their first monsoon of the season, with forecasts predicting up to 600 mm (23.6 inches) of rain in a week, potentially leading to widespread flooding and cyclone activity.

    This year’s first monsoon is forecast to develop north of Darwin by Wednesday, January 10, 2024, with widespread rain expected over the Top End from about Thursday, Sky News Australia Meteorologist Alison Osborne warns.

    Darwin is set to experience a significant increase in daily rainfall, particularly this weekend as a low forms along the monsoon trough. This change in weather comes after a notably dry start of the wet season, with Darwin Airport recording just 311 mm (12.2 inches) of rain, about two-thirds of the average. This lack of rain has contributed to the city experiencing its hottest first week of the year on record.

    The upcoming week could see rainfall ranging from 300 to 600 mm (11.8 – 23.6 inches) between the Kimberley coast and the Gulf of Carpentaria.

    A low pressure area, developing west of Darwin later in the week, is being closely monitored for potential cyclone formation. If it remains over water, it could become the season’s second cyclone, named Kirrily. However, if it moves overland, it will likely bring continued heavy downpours without developing further.

    Current weather models show varied predictions regarding the system’s movement, and it is too early to determine if it will evolve into a cyclone.

    The monsoon, derived from the Arabic word for “season,” signifies a shift in wind and rainfall patterns over northern Australia, Osborne explains. As north-westerly winds develop south of the equator, they pull the monsoon trough – a broad region of low pressure, rain, and storms – over the country. This phenomenon is crucial for regions like the Kimberley, Top End, and Gulf of Carpentaria, where it typically means heavy rainfall, drawing moisture from surrounding oceans.


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    • Post n°12

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Sat Jan 13, 2024 11:57 am

    ARTIC BLAST SET FOR USA...
    Planet’s most abnormally cold air to surge into Lower 48 states
    Stunning cold is crashing southward from the Arctic into the Lower 48 states. It could break hundreds of records this weekend into early next week. The bitter cold will arrive in the wake of another blockbuster storm sweeping the nation.

    The Arctic blast will produce the planet’s biggest negative temperature anomalies over parts of the western and central United States, in some places up to 60 degrees below normal. It will make for icy NFL playoff games in Kansas City and Buffalo this weekend and frigid Iowa caucuses Monday, and could test the Texas power grid.

    On Friday morning, the cold had already begun to invade large parts of the western and central United States. The most extreme cold was in northern Montana, where wind chills plunged as low as minus-60 with actual air temperatures as low as minus-30. Air temperatures plummeted into single digits as far south as southern Kansas and as far east as Minneapolis.
    https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/planet-s-most-abnormally-cold-air-to-surge-into-lower-48-states/ar-AA1mOMo8
    ==

    RECORD LOWS TESTED... DEVELOPING...
    Arctic Cold Outbreak Could Smash Records From Washington State To The Gulf Coast

    > A blast of arctic cold air is plunging into the U.S.
    > It will penetrate into the South by this weekend, and could drop temps below freezing for several days in a row.
    > Several daily cold records will be in jeopardy.
    > Dangerously cold wind chills are also expected, especially in the Northern Plains and Rockies.
    > This generally colder pattern could hang on until the last full week of January or longer.

    W​hen It Will Happen: T​he first plunge of cold air already surged south through the Plains. A reporting station near Raynesford, Montana, plunged to minus 43 degrees Friday morning. Watson Lake, British Columbia, Canada, plunged to minus 57 degrees.

    Dickinson, North Dakota, registered a minus 66 degree wind chill early Saturday morning. Even more brutal, Lupin, in Canada's Northwest Territories measured a minus 77 degree wind chill Saturday morning, with a 40 mph wind accompanying temperatures in the minus 30s.

    An even stronger cold blast is now surging south through the Plains and Midwest this weekend, before working its way toward the Southeast and finally the East Coast Wednesday.

    H​ow Cold It Will Get: During the coldest days of the outbreak...

    L​ows in the 20s, perhaps teens, will occur along the northern Gulf Coast, from East Texas to North Florida.

    T​eens, perhaps a few single digit-lows, are expected in the Deep South.

    Below-zero low temperatures could occur as far south as parts of the Texas Panhandle, Oklahoma and northern Arkansas.
    L​ows in the minus 20s are possible as far south as Iowa and Nebraska.

    S​ome lows in Montana will reach minus 40 degrees.

    Daily records - coldest for the calendar day - are possible from Washington to Wyoming this weekend, then in parts of the Plains and Deep South, Monday through Wednesday.

    A​mong the notables, Chicago's O'Hare Airport could plunge to the minus teens for the first time since the January 2019 cold outbreak, and could fail to rise above zero during the day Monday and/or Tuesday. Oklahoma City could plunge below zero for the first time since the historic February 2021 cold outbreak. That said, we don't expect this outbreak to match the ferocity of either the January 2019 or February 2021 outbreaks.

    Y​et another blast of cold air is now expected into many of these same areas late week that would last at least through the weekend of Jan. 20-21.
    https://weather.com/forecast/national/news/2024-01-10-arctic-cold-outbreak-south-plains-midwest
    ==

    LIVE: CHILL MAP...
    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Us_chill
    http://hp2.wright-weather.com/icons/us_chill.gif


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    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Sun Jan 14, 2024 6:56 am

    https://www.bitchute.com/video/rBhL-eLeFSc/

    The Great Freeze . . . Are You Prepared?
    Looking at almost every forecast model, the Arctic air front moving across North America will trip off power grids from both Canada to the USA with all drawing "record" electricity demand. We have not seen an event like this before and expect power outages because of it. To make matters worse repair parts for damaged infrastructure will be delayed because of shipping disruptions across the planet. Help is far away so you are on your own through this event.
    ==

    Major winter storm targets Midwest to Great Lakes with heavy snow and blizzard conditions, U.S. - Saturday, January 13, 2024
    https://watchers.news/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/goes-east-0100-utc-janaury-13-2024-with-group-energy-density.webp

    A powerful winter storm is set to bring heavy snow, strong winds, and blizzard conditions across the Midwest to the Great Lakes through Saturday, January 13, 2024. Following this storm, dangerously low temperatures are forecasted for the Rockies and Plains. This storm system is part of the same weather pattern that caused significant disruptions in southern Ontario, Canada.

    An intense low-pressure system is bringing significant wintry weather across the Midwest to the Great Lakes, expected to last through Saturday, January 13, 2024. National Weather Service forecaster Asherman highlighted the busy weather pattern, noting that the storm will be followed by frigid Arctic air spilling southward from Canada.

    As of the morning of January 13, moderate to heavy snowfall and gusty winds are reported across the Heartland. Blizzard conditions, with wind gusts of 40 – 65 km/h (25 – 40 mph), are creating dangerous travel situations across the Corn Belt through the Great Lakes. Despite the snowfall area diminishing by evening, northwesterly winds will intensify lake-effect snow downwind of the Great Lakes, with an additional 30 – 60 cm (12 – 24 inches) of snow expected in western Michigan and New York state.

    In the Northeast, heavy rainfall may lead to flooding, exacerbated by recent rains. Coastal areas in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast are also facing moderate to major coastal flooding.

    Historical coastal flooding is expected in Maine on Saturday morning (LT), January 13, 2024. The state is bracing for a combination of major coastal flooding, strong winds, heavy rainfall, and snow in mountainous regions, predominantly during the morning. The most severe rain and wind conditions are forecasted between 06:00 and 10:00 LT, with the most critical coastal flooding anticipated around noon LT, coinciding with the high tide.

    The western U.S. also faces severe weather conditions due to an Arctic airmass. In Montana, temperatures could drop to as low as -40 to -46 °C (40 – 50 °F). The Northern and Central Plains are likely to experience record-breaking sub-zero temperatures, with wind chill values reaching -35 °C (-30 °F) in areas extending from the northern Rockies to northern Kansas. In the Dakotas, wind chill values could plummet to around -46 °C (-50 °F).

    The Great Basin and Pacific Northwest are under Winter Storm Warnings, with heavy snow and valley icing posing travel hazards. Oregon is particularly vulnerable to significant freezing rain, risking tree and power line damage. The cold air moving south is expected to bring wintry conditions to the Mid-South by Sunday, January 14, including snow, sleet, and freezing rain in the ArkLaTex region.

    The hazardous weather will persist into next week, with dangerously low temperatures and wind chills. In northern coastal California and Oregon, flash flooding remains a threat with 75 – 130 mm (3 – 5 inches) of rainfall forecasted for today.
    ==

    U.S. faces first major Arctic outbreak of winter, dangerously cold wind chills expected

    The United States is bracing for its first significant Arctic air outbreak of the winter, impacting the north-central region with bitterly cold wind chills and extending through the weekend. The northern Rockies and Plains are particularly at risk, with the Arctic surge also expected to bring record-breaking cold to the south-central U.S.
    ==

    Major winter storm hits southern Ontario, causes blizzard conditions and power outages, Canada
    A severe winter storm, characterized by heavy snowfall and strong wind gusts exceeding 80 km/h (50 mph) in some areas, swept through southern Ontario on Friday, January 12, 2024. The storm led to widespread power outages, with over 30 000 reported by Hydro One. Additionally, the storm caused significant disruptions at Toronto-Pearson International Airport, leading to numerous flight cancellations and delays.
    ==

    Eruption started north of Grindavík, Iceland - January 14, 2024 (cooling off the atomosphere even more)
    Another eruption began south-southeast of Hagafell, Reykjanes Peninsula, Iceland at 07:57 UTC on January 14, 2024. The latest images show the lava flowing toward the town of Grindavik. The perimeter… According to the Icelandic Met Office (IMO), an intense series of earthquakes began at the Sundhnúksgígar crater row at around 03:00 UTC today, with more than 200 earthquakes over the next 3 hours.


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    • Post n°14

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Tue Jan 16, 2024 11:58 am


    200 million Americans on alert as Arctic blast moves through US From Louisiana to the Northeast, 23 states are on alert as a winter storm unleashed brutal temperatures, snow and ice throughout the area.
    ==


    Record-breaking cold stretches from coast to coast: What to expect
    An arctic blast is sweeping across the country with millions under wind chill alerts where temperatures could dip 20 to 45 degrees below average. Meanwhile, winter storms have grounded flights and icy roads are causing dangerous driving conditions. NBC’s Jesse Kirsch reports and TODAY’s Dylan Dreyer tracks the latest forecast.
    ==


    Nearly 100 million Americans under wind chill warnings or advisories
    ==


    Cars and Trucks sliding on icy roads - Memphis - 2024 - Massive Southern Winter Storm
    ==


    Road Conditions in Knoxville TN
    ==


    Downed trees destroy Portland neighborhoods; thousands remain without power
    ==


    Renters inside and homeless outside shiver in subzero temperatures
    ==


    Dead Teslas pack Chicago area Supercharger station due to frigid temps
    ==


    Commutes still affected as snow turns to rain Tuesday afternoon.Scituate
    ==


    NY.. along 95 Corridor freezing.. Long Island below 32° is freezing rain.
    ==


    Snow Forecast for the Third Week of January
    For this week's Snow Before You Go forecast, presented by Oakley, Meteorologist Chris Tomer shares the North America snow forecast for the third week of January, along with his picks for resorts with the best odds of powder days.
    ==


    2 minutes ago in New York, USA! Stadium and houses covered in snow, snowstorm in Buffalo

    2 minutes ago in New York, USA! Stadium and houses covered in snow, snowstorm in Buffalo

    While the most dangerous conditions were due in most part to the whipping winds, Western New York saw heaps of snow pile up, particularly in the Southtowns, where snowfall totals neared 2 feet and conditions in Orchard Park forced the Buffalo Bills playoff game to be moved to Monday afternoon.

    At Highmark Stadium, the bleachers were completely buried in snow. Those conditions were repeated all over, including South Buffalo, West Seneca, Hamburg, and countless other places.

    While many area schools and universities have also canceled activities over the weekend. The University at Buffalo has canceled all events scheduled for Sunday.
    ==


    Maine under WATER Again ! Huge waves and flooding hit maine , new hampshire , USA.

    > massive waves hit portland maine and new hampshire again Maine saw record-breaking water levels in the state on Saturday.

    As high-tide came in, towns and cities on Maine's coastline began to see historic flooding Many areas including Wells Portland and the Midcoast saw waves over 16 feet.

    > in new hampshire Police and fire officials closed down roads leading into Hampton Beach Saturday as the community experienced a second round of coastal flooding in four days.
    ==


    USA is freezing ! snow storm hit many states in united states of America
    snow storm hit colorado, alabama, Mississippi, north carolina, tennessee, iowa, and some states in usa.

    One person was killed and another was injured in Arkansas after their pickup truck careened off a snowy White County highway and hit a tree according to state police.

    Schools closed as arctic blast slams South with snow Over 2,600 flights have been canceled Monday, with airports in Denver, Dallas, Houston and Chicago hit the hardest as a major winter storm unleashes heavy snow and ice across the South.


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    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.
    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    • Post n°15

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Sun Jan 21, 2024 6:09 pm


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=36pr1MwXaPo
    Watch Out! A Solar Storm is Coming and It’s Going to Be Awesome!

    ==


    New Study finds The Biggest Solar Storm in 100 years Will Hit Earth in Early 2024, not 2025


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    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.
    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    • Post n°16

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Sun Jan 21, 2024 6:25 pm


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7Dc5m4C8P8
    Climate Change, The Great Disaster Cycle, Atlantis & More
    | The Culture War With Tim Pool


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.
    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    • Post n°17

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Sat Feb 03, 2024 8:27 am

    Catalonia’s worst drought in a century prompts declaration of drought emergency, new water restrictions, Spain - February 2, 2024
    Barcelona and the wider region of Catalonia have declared a drought emergency following three consecutive years of insufficient rainfall, leading to reservoir levels falling critically low. Pere Aragones, the head of the regional government, announced immediate water-saving restrictions affecting six million people. With reservoirs at less than 16% capacity, the emergency is described as the worst drought Catalonia has experienced in a century, necessitating drastic reductions in water usage for residents, municipalities, farmers, and businesses alike.

    Spain’s second-largest city, Barcelona, and the surrounding Catalonia region have been placed under a drought emergency as of Thursday, February 1, 2024. This declaration by Catalonia’s regional government head, Pere Aragones, comes after a prolonged period of dryness, with reservoirs in the Mediterranean area dropping below 16% capacity, a critical threshold that has led to the implementation of stringent water-saving measures affecting an estimated six million individuals.

    Pere Aragones highlighted the gravity of the situation in a press briefing, stating, “Catalonia is suffering the worst drought in the last century… we have never faced such a long and intense drought since rainfall records began.”

    The emergency protocols aim to reduce the daily water allocation from 210 liters (55 gallons) to 200 liters (52 gallons) per person, with further reductions to 180 liters (47 gallons) and then 160 liters (42 gallons) if conditions worsen. These measures extend to Barcelona and 201 neighboring local councils as of Friday, February 2.
    ==

    Record-breaking winds hit parts of northern Norway, causing widespread damage - Tuesday, January 30, 2024
    A powerful storm brought hurricane-force winds to northern Norway on January 29, 2024, tearing down buildings and disrupting transport, while leaving thousands without power. Another storm system is expected to rapidly intensify before making landfall in Norway on January 31, bringing extremely strong winds and heavy snowfall.

    The intense weather system tore down buildings, threw boats onto roads, and left thousands of residents without power. In response to the severe conditions, police advised residents to stay indoors and seek cover.

    The storm brought transportation to a standstill, with the cancellation of most flights, ferry, and shipping routes. The airports of Tromsø, Bodø, and Evenes, serving Narvik and Harstad, were among the hardest hit, along with smaller airports following the cancellation of all flights north of Trondheim by airline Widerøe. Coastal voyage lines, including Hurtigruten and Havila, also kept their ships in port and canceled departures due to forecasts of high waves and strong winds, gusting at speeds up to 115 km/h (72 mph) and beyond.

    Record-breaking wind speeds were registered in several areas: 137 km/h (85 mph) at Bø in Vesterålen, 150 km/h (93 mph) on the island of Værøy, and 126 km/h (78 mph) at Leknes airport in Lofoten. An astonishing 230 km/h (143 mph) was recorded at Tverrfjellet in Glomfjord. State meteorologist Eirik Samuelsen noted on social media that these winds were unprecedented along the coast.

    “The damage could have been worse and the winds could have gotten even stronger if the low pressure had moved even closer to the coast, which I think we should be glad it didn’t,” Samuelsen said.

    The storm triggered several avalanches, including one on the RV 85 highway leading to Kvæfjord and its ferry port, effectively isolating Vesterålen. The main E6 highway over Saltfjellet in Nordland County was also affected, and evacuations were ordered in several homes on Lofoten due to rising seas posing a flooding threat.

    Another storm system is expected to strengthen rapidly on January 31 between Iceland and Norway and make landfall late January 31 (LT) into February 1. This system could bring extremely strong winds and very heavy snowfall.
    ==

    Grindavík’s eruption risk increases with significant magma influx, Iceland - February 2, 2024

    Iceland builds massive dykes to shield against volcanic lava flows - Thursday, February 1, 2024
    Icelanders are building massive dykes to protect against possible lava flows from reactivated volcanoes near Reykjavik. The six volcanic systems, active for the first time in nearly 800 years, pose a significant threat to the Reykjanes peninsula, prompting around-the-clock construction efforts to safeguard homes and a crucial power plant.

    Iceland has initiated a massive construction effort to erect protective dykes capable of shielding vital infrastructure and residential areas from the potential flow of lava. This initiative comes in the wake of volcanic activity near the capital, Reykjavik, where volcanoes that lay dormant for nearly 800 years have suddenly become active.

    The Reykjanes peninsula, home to 30 000 people or nearly 8% of Iceland’s population, is under threat from six volcanic systems forecasted to remain active for up to three centuries.

    The urgency of the situation has led to the deployment of nearly 100 bulldozers, excavators, and haul trucks, working tirelessly around the Svartsengi geothermal power plant. Kristinn Hardarson, leading operations at HS Orka, the energy company that owns Svartsengi, outlined the scale of the operation, which involves the use of 560 000 m3 of gravel and solidified lava rock. This material, sufficient to fill 20 000 trucks, is being strategically placed to divert the lava flows away from critical areas rather than attempting to halt them entirely—a method recommended by Vidir Reynisson, head of Iceland’s Civil Protection and Emergency Management, due to the natural tendency of lava to accumulate and overflow barriers if obstructed.

    The defensive efforts extend beyond Svartsengi to the nearby town of Grindavik, a vital fishing port with nearly 4 000 residents. The town faced evacuations in December ahead of the most recent eruption. Initial barriers constructed around Grindavik successfully diverted lava away from the town, but subsequent fissures on the opposite side of the barriers led to lava reaching and igniting several houses.

    The scale of the barriers is monumental, with the largest being approximately 40 m (130 feet) wide, 8 to 10 m (36 – 33 feet) high, and 4 m (13 feet) wide at the top. Completing the 7 km (4.3 miles) half-circle around Grindavik is expected to take six weeks, requiring roughly double the material used at Svartsengi. This endeavor reflects the lessons learned from previous attempts to control lava flows in Iceland and elsewhere, such as Italy and Hawaii, though those efforts were on a much smaller scale.
    ==

    Strong eruptive activity at Ibu volcano, Indonesia - February 1, 2024
    Eruptive activity at Indonesia’s Ibu volcano continues with strong explosions from the cinder cone within the summit caldera.

    The PVMBG recorded two significant eruptions on January 31, 2024. The first occurred at 12:45 UTC, producing an ash column that reached up to 4.5 km (14 800 feet) above sea level, drifting northeast with a gray, thick intensity. This event was captured on a seismograph, showing a maximum amplitude of 22 mm and lasting 143 seconds.

    A subsequent eruption at 16:32 UTC generated an ash column up to 3.3 km (10 800 feet) above sea level, characterized by a white to gray color and thick intensity towards the southeast, with a seismograph recording a maximum amplitude of 28 mm and a duration of 186 seconds.

    Throughout January 17 – 23, Ibu maintained a state of eruption, with daily ash emissions ranging in color from white-and-gray to gray-to-brown, rising 200 – 1 300 m (656 – 4 265 feet) above the summit and dispersing southwards, southwest, and west. On January 17, observers at the post reported hearing banging and rumbling sounds, and windows in the building vibrated. Minor ashfall affected areas to the northwest, west, and southwest of the volcano between January 17 and 19.

    The Alert Level remains at 2 (the second-highest on a four-tier scale), advising the public to stay beyond a 2 km (1.2 miles) radius and 3.5 km (2.2 miles) from the northern sector of the active crater. In case of ashfall, outdoor individuals are recommended to use protective gear for their nose, mouth (masks), and eyes (goggles).

    Gunung Ibu’s truncated summit on Halmahera Island’s northwest coast features large nested craters, with the inner crater being 1 km (0.6 miles) wide and 400 m (1 300 feet) deep, housing several small crater lakes.

    The outer crater, 1.2 km (0.7 miles) wide, is breached to the north, forming a steep-walled valley. A significant cone has developed to the ENE of the summit, while a smaller one on the WSW has produced a lava flow down the west flank.

    Additionally, a group of maars exists below the north and west flanks. The volcano’s recorded eruptive history began with a small summit explosion in 1911, with renewed activity since December 1998 leading to the formation of a lava dome covering much of the inner summit crater’s floor, alongside continuous explosive ash emissions.
    ==

    Seismic activity and ground deformation surge at Kilauea’s summit, Hawaii - Thursday, February 1, 2024
    Increased earthquake activity and signs of magma movement beneath Kilauea’s summit, detected on January 31, 2024, have prompted the USGS Hawaiian Volcano Observatory to elevate the volcano’s alert level from ADVISORY/YELLOW to WATCH/ORANGE. With over 500 earthquakes recorded since midnight and ground deformation indicating pressurized magma chambers, the risk of an eruption remains high.

    In the early morning hours (HST, GMT+10) of January 31, 2024, Kilauea Volcano exhibited increased seismic activity and inflationary ground deformation, signaling the movement of magma in the subsurface. This prompted the USGS Hawaiian Volcano Observatory (HVO) to raise the volcano’s Alert Level and Aviation Color Code from ADVISORY/YELLOW to WATCH/ORANGE, indicating a heightened possibility of eruption.

    The HVO’s latest update, published at 03:55 UTC on February 1, reports that activity beneath Kilauea’s summit remains “heightened and dynamic.” The increase in seismicity and deformation, initially observed in the south caldera region, has fluctuated throughout the day but continues to signal a pressurized volcanic system. The seismic events, varying between 25 – 40 earthquakes per hour at depths of 1.5 – 3 km (approximately 1 – 2 miles), have formed clusters that migrated across the summit area, indicating shifting magma beneath the surface.

    Since January 31, over 500 earthquakes have been located in this region, with magnitudes ranging up to 3.4, contributing to more than 1 400 earthquakes detected since January 27. Despite the increased seismicity, no events have caused damage, though several were felt by nearby communities and triggered rockfalls within the Haleuma umau crater.

    Ground deformation measurements, particularly from tiltmeters at Sand Hill and Uakahuna bluff, have shown variable directions and rates of tilt, typical of underground movements that could precede an eruption. Approximately 20 microradians of tilt change have been recorded, with step-wise changes often triggered by the seismic activity shaking the instruments.

    Current patterns of deformation and seismicity suggest ongoing magma movement beneath the surface, extending from the region south of Halemaumamu to the area southwest of Kilauea’s caldera. While activity remains concentrated in the summit region, with no unusual activity detected in the East Rift Zone or Southwest Rift Zone, the HVO warns that periods of increased earthquake activity and deformation rates are likely to continue.

    Wind conditions, currently weak and from the south, could carry volcanic gases into areas of Hawaii Volcanoes National Park and surrounding communities if an eruption occurs.

    The HVO is closely monitoring the situation, including seismic activity, ground deformation, gas emissions, and webcam imagery, to detect any signs that might precede an eruption, such as accelerated seismic rates or changes in earthquake depths.

    Officials at Hawaii Volcanoes National Park are working in tandem with HVO staff to ensure public safety, staying vigilant for any signs of a new lava outbreak or dike propagation that could indicate an imminent eruption.

    Kilauea, located on the eastern flank of the massive Mauna Loa shield volcano on the island of Hawaii, has a rich history recorded in Polynesian legends and documented eruptions since 1820. These eruptions include frequent summit and flank lava flows, interspersed with periods of long-term lava lake activity at the Halemaumau crater within the summit caldera, up until 1924.

    The caldera, which measures approximately 3 x 5 km (about 1.86 x 3.11 miles), was formed in several stages around 1 500 years ago and again during the 18th century. Eruptions have also originated from the extensive East and Southwest rift zones, which stretch to the ocean in both directions.

    Around 90% of the volcano’s surface is comprised of lava flows that are less than approximately 1 100 years old, with 70% of its surface being younger than 600 years.

    A prolonged eruption from the East rift zone, spanning from 1983 to 2018, produced lava flows that covered more than 100 km² (about 38.6 square miles), destroyed hundreds of homes, and contributed to the formation of new coastline. Kiauea is located within the Hawaiian Islands, designated as a UNESCO World Heritage site.


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    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    • Post n°18

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Mon Feb 05, 2024 6:20 am

    Phreatic eruption, pyroclastic flows at Mayon volcano, Philippines - February 5, 2024

    A phreatic eruption occurred at the Mayon volcano summit on Sunday, February 4, 2024, at 08:37 UTC, lasting 169 seconds. The event generated a 1 200 m (4 000 feet) tall ash plume, rockfalls and pyroclastic flows. The volcano’s Alert Level remains at 2 and authorities are reminding the public to avoid the Permanent Danger Zone.

    On Sunday, February 4, 2024, at 08:37 UTC (16:37 local time), the Mayon Volcano in the Philippines erupted in a phreatic explosion that lasted for approximately 169 seconds. The eruption was characterized by a booming sound, the occurrence of rockfall, pyroclastic density currents (PDC), and the generation of a 1 200 m (4 000 feet) tall plume that drifted southwest. This is about 3.6 km (12 000 feet) above sea level.

    Following the eruption, the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (Phivolcs) has reiterated the importance of not entering the 6 km (3.7 miles) Permanent Danger Zone (PDZ) surrounding the volcano due to the potential hazards such as sudden steam-driven eruptions, landslides, and lahars, especially during heavy and prolonged rainfall.

    Mayon Volcano, known for its perfect cone shape and as the most active volcano in the Philippines, remains at Alert Level 2, indicating a moderate level of unrest.

    The volcano, which rises majestically above the Albay Gulf northwest of Legazpi City, has a history of eruptions dating back to 1616 CE, ranging from Strombolian to basaltic Plinian types.

    Its eruptive history is marked by cyclical activity that typically begins with basaltic eruptions, followed by andesitic lava flows that have occasionally reached populated areas, causing significant damage and fatalities. The 1814 eruption, one of its most violent, resulted in over 1 200 deaths and widespread destruction.
    ==

    Raging wildfires claim more than 112 lives, leave hundreds missing in central Chile - Monday, February 5, 2024

    Intense wildfires in central Chile have resulted in at least 112 fatalities, hundreds missing, and the destruction of thousands of homes as of early Monday, February 5, 2024. A state of emergency has been declared in response to the crisis, with fires continuing to spread through densely populated areas. Chilean President Gabriel Boric and Interior Minister Carolina Tohá highlighted the severity of the situation, noting the challenges posed by 92 active fires amid unusually high temperatures and the impact of the El Niño weather pattern.

    Central Chile is currently facing one of its most severe wildfire crises, with at least 112 people confirmed dead and hundreds. Unfortunately, the death toll is expected to continue rising.

    The Chilean government has declared a state of emergency as the fires, exacerbated by the El Niño weather phenomenon, continue to spread across densely populated areas. Chile’s Interior Minister Carolina Tohá reported that 92 forest fires are raging in the central and southern parts of the country, driven by unusually high temperatures this week.

    The deadliest fires are occurring in the Valparaíso region, prompting authorities to advise residents to stay indoors to facilitate the movement of emergency vehicles. Two significant fires near Quilpué and Villa Alemana have consumed at least 3 237 ha (8 000 acres), with the blaze moving dangerously close to the coastal resort of Viña del Mar. In Villa Independencia, a hillside neighborhood in Viña del Mar, entire blocks of homes and businesses have been obliterated.
    ==

    Powerful atmospheric river triggers state of emergency in Southern California, rare Level 4 of 4 risk of excessive rainfall - February 5, 2024

    An intense atmospheric river event hit California on Sunday, February 4, 2024, prompting Gov. Gavin Newsom to declare a state of emergency in eight counties due to the potential for “life-threatening” flooding, mudslides, and widespread power outages. The National Weather Service warns of significant rainfall, powerful winds, and heavy snowfall continuing over the next few days.

    An intense, slow-moving atmospheric river that arrived in California on Sunday, February 4, 2024, has unleashed a series of severe weather phenomena across the state, including “life-threatening” flooding, mudslides, and widespread power outages.

    This event has prompted Governor Gavin Newsom to declare a state of emergency in Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Diego, San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, and Ventura counties.

    The National Weather Service (NWS) in Oxnard has highlighted the situation as one of the most dramatic weather days in recent memory, with a rare Level 4 of 4 risk of excessive rainfall announced for parts of Southern California, including Los Angeles, Santa Barbara, and Oxnard. This warning predicts rainfall rates of up to 25 mm (1 inch) per hour, resulting in total rainfall amounts of 76 to 152 mm (3 to 6 inches) across the affected areas.
    ==

    San Francisco exceeds seasonal rain totals, another atmospheric river and extremely dangerous winds approaching California, U.S. - February 4, 2024

    Severe storms swept through California on Thursday, February 1, 2024, causing widespread flooding, power outages, and fallen trees. The first of two storms, part of strong atmospheric river systems, hit the San Francisco Bay Area before moving south towards Los Angeles, delivering over 100 mm (4 inches) of rain in some areas. Officials warn of a “significant threat” from an even larger storm expected over the weekend, with the potential for excessive rain, heavy snow, and strong winds across the state through Tuesday, February 7.

    The severe weather affecting California began with a fast-moving storm on Thursday, February 1, 2024, that brought heavy rain and gusty winds, particularly impacting the San Francisco Bay Area before proceeding southward.

    The Marin Headlands and coastal mounts north of the Bay Area received more than 100 mm (4 inches) of rainfall, while San Francisco itself saw 60 mm (2.35 inches) of rain, pushing the city’s seasonal totals above average.

    This wet weather led to submerged streets, traffic hazards, and the suspension of San Francisco’s cable car services as a precaution. The northern city of Eureka in Humboldt County experienced coastal flooding, recording more than 50 mm (2 inches) of rainfall, a daily record, alongside scattered power outages.

    As the storm system advanced towards southern California, it brought flash flooding to areas like southern Los Angeles County and Seal Beach, with reports of cars submerged under water and freeway closures.

    The Orange County Fire Authority conducted several rescues due to the storm, including a dramatic rescue from a storm channel in Costa Mesa and a man stranded on an island in the Santa Ana riverbed. The weather also affected higher elevations, bringing 300 – 360 mm (12 – 14 inches) of snow to the Mammoth Mountain ski resort in the Sierra Nevada, a crucial development for the state’s snowpack.

    The National Weather Service (NWS) has issued warnings of an even more powerful storm arriving on Sunday, February 4, expected to bring excessive rain, flooding threats, heavy mountain snow, and strong winds across California until Tuesday, February 7.

    Additionally, a brief tornado and waterspouts are possible along the central California coast Sunday.
    ==

    Widespread floods and landslides in southern Philippines claim 14 lives - Sunday, February 4, 2024
    The death toll from landslides and floods caused by torrential rain in the southern Philippines has reached 14, as reported on Saturday, February 3, 2024. The severe weather has affected parts of Mindanao, the country’s second-largest island, leading to tens of thousands seeking refuge in emergency shelters. Davao de Oro, a province known for its gold mining, has been particularly hard-hit, with 10 fatalities in recent days due to relentless rain.


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    • Post n°19

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Tue Feb 13, 2024 7:12 am

    Massive power outages hit Victoria during violent thunderstorms, Australia - Tuesday, February 13, 2024

    Violent thunderstorms struck Australia’s east coast on February 13, 2024, leading to significant damage and disruptions. The storms caused the shutdown of AGL’s Loy Yang A power station in Victoria, leaving approximately 590 000 homes and businesses without electricity. The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) was forced to cap electricity prices at A$16,600 per megawatt hour, a significant increase from the usual A$200. Efforts to restore power are ongoing, with some customers already reconnected.

    Violent thunderstorms with winds in excess of 100 km/h (62 mph) hit Victoria’s east coast on Tuesday, February 13, 2024, causing widespread damage, including downed trees and power lines.

    Between 12:00 and 18:00 LT, the Victoria State Emergency Service received well over 1 500 calls for assistance, and the number continued rising with ongoing thunderstorm activity.

    The most significant impact was the shutdown of AGL’s Loy Yang A power station, a critical infrastructure responsible for about a third of the state’s electricity supply. The station’s closure was a direct result of the collapse of several towers along a key section of Victoria’s transmission network during the storm, characterized by strong winds and heavy rainfall.

    In the aftermath of the plant’s shutdown, electricity prices in Victoria soared to their maximum limit of A$16,600 (approximately USD) per megawatt hour, a stark increase from the average price of around A$200.

    Responding to the crisis, the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) implemented measures to cut electricity usage across the network, a decision aimed at managing the reduced power supply and preventing further system overload.

    State energy minister Lily D’Ambrosio announced that efforts to mitigate the situation had led to the restoration of one of Loy Yang’s four units, allowing for the end of mandatory power cuts. However, despite this progress, approximately 500 000 customers remained without power as of the evening of February 13, with an earlier restoration for 90 000 customers.

    The widespread power outages have affected a broad swath of Victoria, from Melbourne’s western suburbs to regional towns like Bendigo, Ballarat, and Shepparton. The extent of the damage and the challenging weather conditions suggest that restoring power to all affected areas could take days, according to Emma Tyner, a spokesperson for Citipower and Powercor.

    The event has renewed the calls for urgent investment in the power infrastructure, with AEMO saying there is an urgent need for a reliable power supply amidst the retirement of aging coal-fired plants.

    Over the past weekend, Victoria started experiencing its first heatwave of the summer, marking a period of extreme bushfire risk across the state, particularly in its western regions. This prompted evacuations amidst fears of ‘catastrophic’ bushfires, a threat level not issued in the area for 14 years. Authorities warned the conditions are the worst they’ve seen since the 2019 Black Summer bushfires.

    James Todd from Victoria’s State Control Centre emphasized the critical nature of the situation, urging residents in the Wimmera region to heed evacuation warnings. He explained the potential for fast-moving grassfires under the forecasted strong northerly winds and the subsequent southwesterly change.

    While acknowledging the strong language [catastrophic] used to describe the risk, Todd stressed the importance of conveying the severity to ensure public safety. He highlighted the unpredictable and uncontrollable nature of fires under such conditions, advising residents of towns such as Rainbow, Warracknabeal, Minyip, Rupanyup, and Murtoa to evacuate and avoid attempting to defend their properties under severe weather conditions.

    On Monday, February 12, temperatures exceeded 30 °C (86 °F) in five Australian state and territory capitals, including Adelaide, Perth, Melbourne, Canberra, and Darwin. Port Augusta, South Australia, recorded the day’s highest temperature at 42.6 °C (108.68 °F), with Adelaide reaching 38 °C (100.4 °F) around 14:30 ACDT. A forecasted cool change was expected to lower temperatures to 27 °C (80.6 °F) early Tuesday.

    In Victoria, the northwest towns of Hopetoun and Walpeup saw temperatures reach 41 °C (105.8 °F), and Mildura 40 °C (104 °F). Melbourne’s temperature climbed to 35 °C (95 °F) on Monday, with an expectation of hitting 36 °C (96.8 °F) on Tuesday following a 33 °C (91.4 °F) day on Sunday.
    ==

    Three CMEs heading toward Earth, impact expected on February 13
    On February 12, models show at least 3 CMEs, produced on February 8 and 10, are heading our way, with the impact expected between 03:00 and 05:00 UTC on February 13.
    There appear to be two CMEs associated with the M9.0 solar flare on February 10 from Region 3576, SWPC forecasters said. The first was a full halo that could be fully seen by 00:00 UTC on February 11. A slower, narrow CME appeared at the same time with the bulk of the ejecta off the NNE limb.
    The geomagnetic field forecast calls for unsettled to G1 – Minor storming on February 12, increasing to active to G2 – Moderate storming on February 13. Unsettled to G1 – Minor conditions are expected on February 14 as CME activity persists.

    Solar activity is likely to reach moderate levels with a slight chance for X-class flares through February 14.
    ==

    M6.3 earthquake hits Volcano Islands, Japan region at intermediate depth - February 12, 2024
    A strong earthquake registered by the JMA as M6.3 hit Volcano Islands, Japan at 11:19 UTC on February 12, 2024. The agency is reporting a depth of 260 km (161 miles). The USGS is reporting the quake as M6.1 at a depth of 250 km (155 miles); EMSC as M6.0 at a depth of 254 km (159 miles). The epicenter was located 821.7 km (510.6 miles) NNE of Saipan, Northern Marianna Islands. There is no tsunami threat from this earthquake. The USGS issued a Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage
    ==

    Intense hailstorms hit UAE after cloud seeding operations - February 12, 2024
    Heavy rain accompanied by lightning and intense hailstorms hit the city of Al Ain and other parts of UAE on the morning of February 12, 2024, causing impressive hail accumulations. This is reportedly the strongest hailstorm Al Ain has seen in 40 years. It comes after NMC conducted a series of cloud seeding flights.

    Other videos show flooded and damaged cars and residents in Al Ain, usually used to the occurrence of hail during such conditions, were surprised by the intensity of the phenomenon.

    According to Gulf News, the NCM’s cloud seeding division swung into action over the weekend, dispatching 14 specialized flights over two days to amplify rainfall across the country. “Thanks to their efforts, residents enjoyed rainy weather on February 11 and 12, with moderate to heavy rain, and even hail, across the country,” their report said.


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    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    • Post n°20

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Wed Feb 14, 2024 8:16 am

    Another atmospheric river headed to California- 2/24/24
    ==

    Shallow M6.0 earthquake hits State of Yap, Federated States of Micronesia - February 14, 2024
    A strong and shallow earthquake registered by the USGS as M6.0 hit the State of Yap, Federated States of Micronesia at 11:40 UTC on February 14, 2024. The agency is reporting a depth of 10 km (6.2 miles). EMSC is reporting the same magnitude and depth. The epicenter was located about 172.2 km (106.8 miles) NNE of Colonia, Micronesia. There is no tsunami threat from this earthquake. 2 000 people are estimated to have felt light shaking and 8 000 weak. The USGS issued a Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
    ==

    New study confirms AMOC is on tipping course - Wednesday, February 14, 2024
    A new study published in Science Advances by René M. Van Westen, Michael Kliphuis, and Henk A. Dijkstra on February 9, 2024, unveils a physics-based early warning signal indicating the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is on a tipping course towards collapse. Utilizing the Community Earth System Model, this research not only simulates the first tipping event but also highlights the significant climate impacts that could ensue, offering a novel approach to predicting and potentially mitigating one of the most catastrophic climate tipping events.

    The AMOC, a critical component of the Earth’s climate system known for its role in heat and salt transport across the global oceans, faces the threat of collapse due to increased freshwater input in the North Atlantic. This study, for the first time, uses the Community Earth System Model to simulate an AMOC tipping event, highlighting significant climate impacts and introducing a novel, observable early warning signal.

    The AMOC’s significance in climate regulation cannot be overstated, with its variability closely monitored since 2004 through the RAPID-MOCHA array at 26°N. Observations suggest a fluctuation in AMOC strength, with a notable weakening since circa 1950, corroborated by proxy records indicating the weakest AMOC state in over a millennium.

    The system’s sensitivity to freshwater influx, through precipitation or ice melt, has raised concerns about a potential rapid shift or collapse, a phenomenon supported by historical data during Dansgaard-Oeschger events.

    Traditional early warning indicators based on sea surface temperature have hinted at an approaching tipping point, yet their reliability remains questionable due to underlying statistical assumptions.

    The collapse led to extensive climate alterations, including atmospheric temperature shifts, Hadley Cell strengthening, and substantial sea-ice expansion in the Northern Hemisphere. These changes had far-reaching implications for regional climates, particularly in Europe, where dramatic cooling was observed. The study also highlighted the potential for significant alterations in precipitation patterns, notably in the Amazon rainforest, which could lead to ecosystem disruptions and cascading climate effects.

    The study by Van Westen, Kliphuis, and Dijkstra represents a significant advancement in our understanding of AMOC dynamics and its susceptibility to collapse. By offering a tangible early warning signal, this research provides valuable tools for climate scientists and policymakers alike, emphasizing the need for immediate attention to the AMOC’s fragile state.
    ==

    Shallow M6.0 earthquake hits near the coast of Atacama, Chile - Wednesday, February 14, 2024
    A strong and shallow earthquake registered by the USGS as M6.0 hit near the coast of Atacama, Chile at 01:31 UTC on February 14, 2024. The agency is reporting a depth of 22 km (13.7 miles). EMSC is reporting the same magnitude and depth.
    The epicenter was located 83.8 km (52.1 miles) WSW of Vallenar (population 44 895), and 113.2 km (70.3 miles) NNW of La Serena (population 154 521), Coquimbo Region, Chile.
    3 000 people are estimated to have felt strong shaking, another 3 000 moderate and 558 000 light.

    The USGS issued a Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
    ==

    Mount Gareloi’s seismic surge linked to magmatic-hydrothermal changes, U.S. - February 13, 2024
    The Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) has detected a notable increase in seismicity at Mount Gareloi on February 12, 2024, prompting the elevation of the Aviation Color Code to Yellow and the Volcano Alert Level to Advisory. Despite the uptick in seismic activity, there are no signs of an imminent eruption.

    The Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) reported an increase in seismic activity at Mount Gareloi, starting at 09:15 AKST (18:15 UTC) on February 12. This change signifies a deviation from the volcano’s typical background activity levels, leading to the Aviation Color Code being raised to Yellow and the Volcano Alert Level to Advisory. Despite this increase, satellite data and webcam views have not shown any notable changes in the volcano’s appearance or behavior.

    Mount Gareloi is known for its persistent emission of magmatic gases from a fumarole field located within the south crater, alongside its common low-level seismic activities. These characteristics hint at the existence of shallow magma beneath the surface, potentially interacting with the volcano’s hydrothermal system. The recent seismicity uptick is believed to reflect alterations within the magmatic-hydrothermal system, though it remains uncertain whether this will lead to an increased likelihood of an eruption.
    ==

    Severe weather forecast in Tanzania following deadly lightning strikes - February 13, 2024
    Recent severe weather in south-eastern Tanzania, particularly the Lindi Region, resulted in three fatalities and 18 injuries due to lightning on February 9. With forecasts predicting more heavy rainfall and thunderstorms, Tanzania braces for further impacts.

    South-eastern Tanzania, especially the Lindi Region, has been severely affected by a series of lightning strikes and thunderstorms in recent days, culminating in tragic incidents that have led to casualties. A lightning event on February 9, 2024, in the afternoon (UTC) resulted in three deaths and 18 injuries.

    The forecast for the next 72 hours indicates that severe weather, including very heavy rainfall and thunderstorms, will persist across most of the country in the days ahead.


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.
    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    • Post n°21

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Thu Feb 15, 2024 9:02 am


    Northeast digging out after winter storm brings heavy snowfall


    US Snowstorm Update | Winter Storm Dumps Snow across US | Travel Chaos, School Closed | US News- US SnowStorm Update: A terrible winter storm has caused devastation across the northeastern region of the U.S. Around 13 million people remained under a winter storm warning. The powerful snowstorm has claimed the life of a 20-year-old man in rural Pennsylvania. The storm has blanketed more than a foot of snow in north-east parts.


    Great Lakes, Northeast Brace For More Snow On Heels Of Nor'easter - With the nor'easter in the rearview mirror, we won't have to wait long for the next snowmakers across the east. Two fast-moving systems will be moving out of the Rockies and dropping a swath of snow from the Northern Plains to the Northeast


    Iceland Volcano | Iceland Volcano Eruption | Stunning Lava Flow Captured 2/14/24 Icelandic volcano erupts for the third time in less than two months

    ==

    Strongest explosive eruption at Sakurajima volcano since 2020, Japan - Thursday, February 15, 2024

    A strong eruption took place at Sakurajima’s Minamidake crater at 09:33 UTC (18:33 LT) on February 14, 2024, producing a thick black ash column that rose to 6 km (20 000 feet) above sea level. The eruption was accompanied by spectacular volcanic lightning. This is the strongest eruption at Sakurajima since 2020. The Kagoshima Meteorological Office reported rocks flying for a distance of 1.3 km (0.8 miles) from the crater, adding that no pyroclastic flows were generated. There were no immediate reports of injuries and damage to buildings. The Japan Meteorological Agency forecasted volcanic ashes to fall in parts of Kumamoto, Miyazaki and Kagoshima prefectures. The Alert Level remains at 3. Residents and tourists are urged not to approach the volcano.
    ==

    Major wildfire in Christchurch’s Port Hills, state of emergency declared, New Zealand - Thursday, February 15, 2024
    Fire and Emergency New Zealand reported a large vegetation fire covering about 650 ha (1 606 acres) in the Port Hills near Christchurch on February 15, 2024. A state of emergency was declared the previous day, with 130 firefighters, 11 helicopters, and heavy machinery deployed. Evacuations affected 80 properties, though no homes were lost. The blaze remains uncontained, and a public health warning was issued due to smoke. Fire and Emergency New Zealand (FENZ) has been actively responding to a significant vegetation fire in the Port Hills near Christchurch. The wildfire, which started on February 13, 2024, led to the declaration of a state of emergency shortly after its outbreak.

    This incident comes seven years after the devastating Port Hills fires in February 2017, which consumed over 1 600 ha (3 954 acres) of land, resulted in a firefighter’s death, and the loss of nine homes along with two other structures.

    As of Wednesday, February 14, 2024, FENZ confirmed the deployment of 130 firefighters, supplemented by 11 helicopters equipped with monsoon buckets, and heavy machinery to construct firebreaks in a bid to contain the fire. Despite these efforts, the fire had not been contained by Wednesday night, leading to evacuations from 80 properties. However, no homes have been reported lost to the fire thus far.
    ==

    Shallow M6.0 earthquake hits State of Yap, Federated States of Micronesia - February 14, 2024
    https://watchers.news/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/micronesia-earthquake-m6.0-february-14-2024.webp

    Regional Seismicity
    https://watchers.news/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/micronesia-earthquake-m6.0-february-14-2024-emsc-regional-seismicity.webp
    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Micronesia-earthquake-m6.0-february-14-2024-emsc-regional-seismicity


    _________________
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    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    • Post n°22

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Sat Feb 17, 2024 8:11 am

    Good morning. Saturday, February 17th

    Another timeline shift.. closer to the EVENT.

    Are you prepping?

    ==


    Big CME, Solar Forcing of Weather, Continental Break-Up | S0 News Feb.17.2024


    Current Sheet Magnetic Reversal Dynamics

    New insights into the predictability of Earth’s magnetic field reversals - February 15, 2024
    Recent observations, including the rapid movement of the North magnetic pole towards Siberia and a consistent decrease in field intensity, suggest that another reversal may be underway, potentially starting within 500 to 1 000 years. This poses significant risks, from increased solar and cosmic radiation affecting human health and technology to potential impacts on national security and the global economy.
    ==

    Major X2.5 solar flare erupts from AR 3576, producing large CME - February 16, 2024
    An impulsive solar flare measuring X2.5 erupted from Active Region 3576 (beta-gamma) at 06:53 UTC on February 16, 2024. The event started at 06:42 and ended at 06:58 UTC. This is the fourth strongest solar flare of Solar Cycle 25 — after X5.0 on December 31, 2023, X3.3 on February 9, 2024, and X2.8 on December 14, 2023.

    A Type II (estimated velocity of 2 674 km/s) and Type IV radio emissions were detected at 06:53 UTC, indicating a strong coronal mass ejection (CME) and solar radiation storm were associated with the event.

    In addition, a 10cm Radio Burst (Tenflare) lasting 5 minutes and with a peak flux of 420 sfu was also associated with the event. A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

    The location of this region (SW limb) does not favor Earth-directed CMEs but S1 or greater solar radiation storm is expected.
    ==


    California Seismograph Live Earthquake News
    ==


    Official Are PANICKING After HUNDREDS Of Earthquakes Have Hit The United States Of America - first up is Yellowstone National Park.
    ==

    Widespread liquefaction hampers reconstruction after M7.6 earthquake in Ishikawa, Japan - February 16, 2024
    In the aftermath of the January 1 earthquake, the city of Wajima in Ishikawa Prefecture faces significant challenges due to liquefaction, severely impacting infrastructure and complicating relief efforts. Continuous aftershocks further hinder the restoration process, with houses, roads, and manholes notably affected. Governor Hiroshi Hase has requested a comprehensive investigation from the central government to address the escalating situation, emphasizing the need for seismic reinforcement of underground infrastructure.
    ==

    Sakurajima Volcano Erupts in Southwestern Japan The Alert Level remains at 3. Residents and tourists are urged not to approach the volcano.
    A strong eruption took place at Sakurajima’s Minamidake crater at 09:33 UTC (18:33 LT) on February 14, 2024, producing a thick black ash column that rose to 6 km (20 000 feet) above sea level. The eruption was accompanied by spectacular volcanic lightning. This is the strongest eruption at Sakurajima since 2020.
    https://twitter.com/PresstvExtra/status/1758632957521350848
    ==


    Cold & Wintry weekend ahead for some! Rain for Florida. Pacific Storm! Watching next week..
    ==


    Extended headlines | Snow slams metro, Denver, high country
    ==


    Alaska Daily Briefing
    ==


    This Tornado Season Will Be VERY Different...
    ==

    Floods and landslides hit Ecuador, leaving two dead and thousands affected - February 16, 2024
    ==

    50 homes damaged, 5 destroyed by twin tornadoes in Limassol, Cyprus - February 15, 2024


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.
    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    • Post n°23

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Sun Feb 18, 2024 8:10 am


    SF California Bay Area weather: More rain ahead
    Inch per hour at Moran County. More wind, heavy wind, a stronger storm is coming to the region for Sunday. Strong thunder storms. Risk of mud slides and flooding. Power outage Santa Cruz area and North Bay. Pounding surf on the coast.
    ==


    Southern California communities prepare for another storm After powerful storms drenched SoCal to start the month, another “extended storm event” is set to move into the area.
    ==


    Fast-moving storm dumps snow across parts of Northeast A fast-moving snowstorm moved across the Northeast over the weekend, dumping more than a foot of snow in some areas. The storm first moved through the Midwest, claiming at least one life. NBC News
    ==


    Parts Of New York City Report 10 Inches Of Snow People are out and about in Central Park to enjoy the 2 inches of snow that fell overnight, but other parts of the city saw nearly 10 inches of powder!
    ==


    Long-Range: Early Look at Next Week's Northeast Snow Storm, Early March Most of the cold air will be restricted to the Great Lakes and Northeast, but there may be a late-week injection of cold air that allows snow to run from the Midwest into the Northeast.
    ==

    Oil spill from Tobago spreads over 160 km towards Grenada’s marine area - February 17, 2024
    Satellite images from the Copernicus Sentinel-1 mission have revealed the scale of an oil spill off Trinidad and Tobago’s coast, following the Gulfstream shipwreck. The spill has extended over 160 km (100 miles) westwards a week after the incident, threatening neighboring marine areas. A maritime disaster occurred off the southern shores of Tobago Island on February 7, 2024, when an unidentified vessel ran aground and overturned, leading to a significant oil spill in the surrounding waters. The resulting spill has coated beaches and wildlife, leading the government to declare a national emergency.
    ==

    Tropical Cyclone “Lincoln” hits Gulf of Carpentaria, heavy rainfall and damaging winds continue, Australia - February 17, 2024
    After making landfall as a Category 1 cyclone on the Australian scale, Lincoln quickly weakened below cyclone intensity near Borroloola. Despite its downgrade, the system’s remnants continue to pose significant weather threats as they move across the central Northern Territory and towards the Kimberley region in Western Australia. Heavy rainfall, potentially leading to flash flooding and minor river flooding, is expected along its path. As of February 17, 2024, at 02:10 UTC, Lincoln’s remnants were over the Barkly District, moving towards the northern Tanami and southern Gregory Districts. The Severe Weather Warning forecasts heavy to locally intense rainfall, with totals ranging from 70 – 120 mm (2.76 – 4.72 inches) and isolated heavier falls up to 180 mm (7.09 inches) possible.

    Strong winds averaging 50 to 60 km/h (31 to 37 mph) with gusts up to 90 km/h (56 mph) are also anticipated.


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.
    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    • Post n°24

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Thu Feb 22, 2024 7:35 am


    Super-Freeze, Starwater, Big Sunspots | S0 News Feb.21.2024

    Xinjiang records lowest temperature in history at -52.3 °C (-62.1 °F), China
    Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region has set a new record for low temperatures, reaching -52.3 °C (-62.14 °F) in Fuyun County, leading to the death of numerous birds and surpassing a cold record held since 1960. Amidst the Chinese Lunar New Year’s return, this severe cold has resulted in extensive traffic disruptions and emergency responses across the region.

    As the cold wave grips northern Xinjiang, temperatures have fallen sharply by 35 to 46 °C (63 to 82.8 °F) over the past three days, causing widespread wildlife fatalities and transportation chaos.

    The temperature in Tuerhong Township of Fuyun County reached a historic low on February 18 at -52.3 °C (-62.14 °F), surpassing the -51.5 °C (-60.7 °F) record set on January 21, 1960. This temperature is close to China’s national record low of -53 °C (-63.4 °F) observed in Mohe, Heilongjiang Province in 2023.

    The extreme weather has impacted 853 kilometers (530 miles) of roads in Altay, with 47 vehicles and 86 rescuers deployed overnight to clear snow and ice.

    The broader effects of the cold spell have led to the closure of 43 road sections and 623 toll stations in regions including Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Liaoning, Jilin, and Heilongjiang, according to the transport ministry.

    The National Meteorological Center has issued a high-level warning for freezing conditions, expecting temperatures to fall by 8 to 12 °C (14 to 21.6 °F) in most parts of China from Monday to Thursday, February 22.

    Additionally, parts of Hunan, Guizhou Province, and northeast China are forecasted to experience temperature drops of more than 20 °C (36 °F).
    ==

    > China sky falling! Ice stones with 150 km/h winds hit Anhui, causing damage in the city
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SqmJJvNYTfQ

    > Another atmospheric river over Southern California
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kx0RhOPL1z8
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qF8SqPWc3Qw

    > Atmospheric river soaks Southern California for a 3rd time
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qF8SqPWc3Qw

    > Severe sandstorms hit parts of NW China - February 20, 2024

    > Tropical Storm “Eleanor” forms over the southern Indian Ocean - February 20, 2024

    > NMC issues Orange alert for severe cold, China - February 21, 2024

    > Large tornado hits West Java Province, damaging more than 60 homes and injuring 22, Indonesia - February 21, 2024


    World Wide Coastal Flooding
    US - North east coast, Bar Harbor, Maine

    Our Website:
    https://climateemergencyforum.org/


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    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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    • Post n°25

    GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER Empty Re: GLOBAL EARTH WEATHER

    Post  Carol Thu Feb 22, 2024 7:41 am


    Weather Why's: ENSO 2024 Outlook

    Feb 22, 2024
    So to start off, what is it looking like? Well, we're looking at an El Nino advisory in the La Nino watch, the Climate Prediction Center.

    Is it dissipating a transition from El Nino to ENSO neutral likely by April, June 20, 24? That's a 79% chance. So we're already seeing signs of El Nino leaving us into a more neutral index. But we're also seeing increased odds of La Nina developing in June slash August of 2024, and that's a 55% chance right now. Sort of still a coin flip, but there are signs that we will head to another La Nina winter for next year.

    For this year. What does that mean, though? What is a La Nina? Well, if you don't remember La Nina, normally trade winds push warm ocean water out to the west at the surface. But in a La Nina year, those trade winds are a lot heavier. This allows for colder waters that are usually deep into the ocean to get pushed up into the surface.

    And that has an impact on our weather here in North America. What does that mean? Usually means cooler winters for the northern portions of the state. Wetter conditions out to the west, a dry and warm southern areas and then a wetter area just south of the Great Lakes most likely pushes into the Great Lakes as well with wetter conditions.

    It also could mean wetter winters here in North Dakota as well. So take a look at our ENSO outlook outside of winter. What impacts does it have on the summer? Well, ENSO mainly has effects on the winter affects usually take place from December to February. Now we do see some changes in the summer week. Enhanced rainfall totals are noticed in El Nino Summers and La Nina.

    Transition summers tend to be warmer and drier. So all we do see that sort of on our outlooks. The Climate Prediction Center does do long term outlooks almost all the way to the start of 2025. And so far, these outlooks, which you do need to take with a grain of salt, they will change. There are other factors into our climate, but what this does show above average for us really due July, August, September, maybe into October, even just equal chances of being above for the next few months when it becomes those precipitation outlooks really just showing equal chances of being wetter or drier for the next few months.

    Once we get to May, we start to see more of a signal through May, June, July, August. We may be below outlook are below average when it comes to our precipitation and then the winter months. Right now. So quite a bit up in the air. But again, we'll be keeping an eye on it here at the storm team.


    _________________
    What is life?
    It is the flash of a firefly in the night, the breath of a buffalo in the wintertime. It is the little shadow which runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset.
    With deepest respect ~ Aloha & Mahalo, Carol
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