Praying Medic 10/25/24 Update
With nearly half a million early votes in, registered Republicans have a 35,000 vote lead.
Early in-person voting in Florida shows a 25 point advantage for Republicans.
Despite the talking heads screaming constantly that a Trump presidency is literally the end of the world, Dem voters, who survived 4 years under the first Trump administration, aren't buying it.
Kamala doesn't inspire voter enthusiasm, and it seems Ds will be content to let DJT have 4 more years.
Nevertheless, cheating is a thing, so we should expect a battle after Nov 5th.[/i]
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Argentina’s government has announced it will dissolve its current tax bureau and replace it with a new “simplified” agency, cutting a third of jobs in the process.
https://www.batimes.com.ar/news/economy/afip-to-arca-milei-government-announces-dissolution-of-tax-bureau.phtml
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Trump is really taking it to the Central Banking Cartel
He’s going further and further against taxes - now talking about eliminating income tax for millions of people (setting the stage to expand that to everyone)
I’m so excited for the next 4 years
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than 10.6% behind the Dems statewide. Today we are 7.4% ahead — a net swing of R+18!
- Republicans are crushing Democrats in early In-Person voting over 5:1.
- Republicans are still ahead in Maricopa by about 15,000 votes. This is MASSIVE.
- Here's an even better sign: Historically, this has been the week that the GOP has closed ballot deficits with Dems in AZ. If this pattern holds, Republicans should increase their advantage.
- Every County except Pima is doing better for Rs than 2020, and Pima is behind a few days. Yuma, Navajo, Apache, Mohave, Yavapai are crushing it in rurals compared to 2020.
- Cochise, Maricopa, Pinal and Gila need to work harder, which we're working on, but Dem energy in these counties is depressed from previous cycles.
- Total ballots cast to date are way down from 2020, a bad sign for Democrats if Republicans can continue GOTV this week.
Keep going everyone. Keep the energy up, keep chasing ballots, keep bringing friends and family to the polls. Sprint through the finish line!!
https://x.com/charliekirk11/status/1848480923110756416
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Republicans lead in Nevada early voting.
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Breaking: Mike Jeffries, the former chief executive of Abercrombie & Fitch was arrested and is expected to be charged Tuesday with operating a sex-trafficking ring, according to people familiar with the matter.
Jeffries and his partner, Matthew Smith, were arrested in Florida as part of an investigation being led by the Brooklyn U.S. attorney's office.
https://www.wsj.com/business/former-abercrombie-ceo-mike-jeffries-is-arrested-in-sex-trafficking-case-18aa7611
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Iranian born Ariane Tabatabai, a senior advisor in the office of Undersecretary of Defense for Special Operations is suspected of leaking Israel's retaliation plans to Iran.
https://www.jewishpress.com/news/us-news/pentagon-employee-suspected-of-leaking-retaliation-plans-to-iran/2024/10/22/
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A San Diego migrant shelter has run out of funding so officials are flying and busing illegal immigrants around the country.
(We are seeing migrants traveling through Maricopa County on white busses every day.)
https://www.foxnews.com/us/migrants-caught-border-bused-flown-san-diego-possible-cover-up-election-official
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North Carlona early voting is trending Republican compared to previous years.
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In Arizona early voting, Republicans have a 37,000 vote lead.
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Mark Halperin: If early voting trends hold, we will know who the President will be on (perhaps before) election day.
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Scavino going scorched earth on fair weather frens.
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In Michigan (the most liberal of the rust belt swing states) Trump has a 1.2 percent lead in RCP polling.
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Trump leads Harris in the RCP average for Pennsylvania.
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Republicans lead in Maricopa County early voting.
Pedal to the metal.
Get out and vote!
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Minnesota early voting going red
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Miami-Dade is MAGA country.
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In Wisconsin, initial data for mail-in voting shows Republican counties outperforming Democrat counties.
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Trump's unprecedented campaign pitch: Elect me to get revenge on the government.
Your terms are acceptable
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DIVIDER IN CHIEF: Obama Says He Doesn’t Know How We Became so Divided, Toxic, and Bitter (VIDEO)
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/10/divider-chief-obama-says-he-doesnt-know-how/
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Biden says Trump needs to be locked up.
Expect the rhetoric to get worse as we move toward election day.
Panic.
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Democrat in person voting in Clark County Nevada is down 45% compared to 2020.
https://x.com/VictorJoecks/status/1848942754648494586
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Florida in person early voting is nearly 2:1 for Republicans versus Democrats.
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North Carolina early voting is tied between Democrats and Republicans. In 2020, Democrats held a 16-point advantage on election day.
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CCTV Footage showing the beginning of the Terrorist Attack on the Headquarters of the Turkish Aerospace Industries in Ankara, with at least Two Gunmen and several Victims.
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he Terrorists in Ankara are seen armed with Rifles, possible Automatic, as well as Backpacks likely filled with additional Explosives.
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The Terrorists in Ankara are seen armed with Rifles, possible Automatic, as well as Backpacks likely filled with additional Explosives.
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The regime is looking for reasons to charge Trump supporters with violent crimes.
Don't take the bait.
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Why Vote Early?
One reason for voting early (this year) is that Trump's campaign opted to contact people who have not yet voted and encourage them to cast their ballots.
As more people vote early, the list of non-voters shrinks, making it easier for the campaign to contact those who have not yet voted.
A second reason is that Democrats have, for years, used early in-person and mail-in voting to their advantage.
The long-term goal is to get us back to voting on election day with a paper ballot that is hand-counted at the precinct level. If Republicans demonstrate that we can leverage mail-in and early in-person voting to our advantage, we may get Dems to agree to return to one-day voting.
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Republicans dominate early voting in Arizona with a 55,000 vote lead over Democrats.
https://x.com/MichaelPruser/status/1849131038859026569
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The latest Harris / Forbes poll shows Trump +8 in battleground states and +2 nationally.
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The October surprises are unusually fake and ghey this year.
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Left leaning Wall Street Journal's latest poll has Trump +3 nationally.
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Kamala's lead in the RCP average is now down to + 0.2.
If the trend continues, Trump is likely to win the popular vote.
If he wins the popular vote, it will be an Electoral College landslide.
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Nevada is polling as the bluest of the swing states, but early voting is dominated by Republicans.
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In North Carolina, Republicans have a slim lead in early voting.
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In 2020, Democrats had a 14-point lead over Republicans in early voting. Republicans are keeping it close this year.
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Historically, the RCP average ends up being left of the actual popular vote by about 3.5 points.
Kamala is currently 0.2 points ahead of Trump. That predicts Trump winning the popular vote by 3.5 points.
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The above forecast for Trump winning the popular vote by 3.5 points is supported by the third quarter Gallup survey placing the US electorate at R + 3, which is an 8 point Republican swing from 2020, when it was D + 5.
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In Nevada, Republicans are on track to win the state by 3 - 5 Points. North Carolina will likely go red by about the same margin.
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The 6-8 point rightward shift is not limited to swing states. Virginia, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Minnesota, and other blue states will be closer than expected.
Trump is on track for a 312 electoral college win and 3 point popular vote victory.
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Republicans lead in-person early voting in every county in North Carolina.
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In Arizona, Republicans stretch their lead in early voting.
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AZ GOP chair Gina Swoboda explains why Arizona voters should drop off their ballots early.
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Most polls still show Kari Lake as a 6-7 point underdog to Democrat Ruben Gallego for the AZ Senate seat.
I suspect the polls are off the mark.
Here's why:
1) AZ early voting is going harder for Republicans than pollsters predicted.
2) Despite the Republican lead in early voting, Dems are actually turning out in slightly higher numbers as a percentage of their electorate, which means there are plenty of Republicans who will vote on election day.
3) The Arizona electorate has swung to R+8 this year, according to party registration records. It seems pollsters have yet to adjust their sampling for this change.
4) Trump is on pace for a big win in the Grand Canyon state, and I don't see Trump voters choosing Gallego.
5) Dems placed an abortion proposition on the ballot hoping it would bait Dem voters into turning out, but that effort seems to have failed. Because...
6) Kamala is not inspiring Democrat voter turnout. Dems do not see this as a life and death election, and Republicans do. That's why conservatives are turning out in record numbers in the swing states.
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Here's a look at the RCP polling data for Kari Lake and Ruben Gallego going back to the second week of September.
Pollsters with the best record of accuracy (Rasmussen, Trafalgar, and Atlas) have Lake consistently at 2-4 points behind Gallego.
(With most polls, 3 points is considered to be within the margin of error.)
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Trump teases the complete abolition of income tax.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/24/us/politics/donald-trump-tax-policy.html
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For those who say Trump can't fund the government on tariffs, the solution is a 95% reduction in government agencies and programs.
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General Flynn is on the ground in North Carolina assisting with hurricane relief efforts.
He says people need heaters, generators, and fuel and provides a few sites where you can donate (NOT to the government).
If you’d like to help, links are below.
“The American spirit is alive and well.” -General Flynn
Heal-corp.org
Spartansword.org
Citizensdefendingfreedom.com
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According to a Report from the Wall Street Journal; Russia has provided Satellite Targeting Data to the Houthis in Western Yemen, assisting them in their Missile and Drone Attacks on Commercial Shipping Vessels in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden. The Data is said to have been passed by Russia through Members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) that are on the Ground in Yemen alongside the Houthis; with Western Officials believing this is an attempt by Russia to further Destabilize the Middle East, and take the United States’ Attention away from the War in Ukraine and Europe.
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Lara Trump & Glenn Youngkin will host a rally in Virginia on Saturday.
Donald Trump hints he may hold a rally there soon.
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Richard Baris:
Biden-Youngkin voters in Virginia favor Trump.==
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JUST IN - Russia's central bank has sharply raised the key interest rate by 2 percentage points, to a record level of 21% per annum.
https://www.disclose.tv/id/ecuaykw5a9/
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For the first time ever, Donald Trump is not trailing in the RCP national popular vote poll. This morning, he erased Kamala's lead. The race for the popular vote is now tied.
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The RCP average typically ends up 2-3 points to the left of actual election results. Thus, a tie in the RCP average predicts a popular vote win for Trump by 2 - 3%.
A popular vote win of 2 - 3% predicts an Electoral College victory of 312 or greater, where 270 is needed to win.
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In North Carolina, Republicans expand their early vote lead.
Early vote leads for Republicans are important because the Democrat voting model is based on early voting. They don't have a game plan to turn out large numbers on election day.
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In the latest Virginia poll, Harris leads Trump by one point.
(The margin of error is 3.6)
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If Trump picks up Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia and Nevada, he would not need Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan or Arizona.
It's the best path to 270 if cheating becomes a problem.
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The GOP is killing it in Arizona early voting.
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The 5th Circuit Court has ruled that only ballots received by election day may be counted.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/25/late-ballots-fifth-circuit-mississippi/
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Israel starts retaliatory strikes against Iran
Israeli missile strike on Tehran has reportedly hit Revolutionary Guard Corps barracks.
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RFK Jr declares war on the FDA.
FDA’s war on public health is about to end. This includes its aggressive suppression of psychedelics, peptides, stem cells, raw milk, hyperbaric therapies, chelating compounds, ivermectin, hydroxychloroquine, vitamins, clean foods, sunshine, exercise, nutraceuticals and anything else that advances human health and can't be patented by Pharma. If you work for the FDA and are part of this corrupt system, I have two messages for you:
1. Preserve your records, and
2. Pack your bags
https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1849925311586238737
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A second wave of attacks has begun in Iran. So far, only military targets. No nuclear or oil facilities.
